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Spatio-temporal prediction aims to forecast and gain insights into the ever-changing dynamics of urban environments across both time and space. Its purpose is to anticipate future patterns, trends, and events in diverse facets of urban…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Jiabin Tang , Yong Xu , Lei Shi , Long Xia , Dawei Yin , Chao Huang

Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Youchuan Hu , Le Yan , Tingting Hang , Jun Feng

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Although Transformer has made breakthrough success in widespread domains especially in Natural Language Processing (NLP), applying it to time series forecasting is still a great challenge. In time series forecasting, the autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Kai Chen , Guang Chen , Dan Xu , Lijun Zhang , Yuyao Huang , Alois Knoll

Extracting and meticulously analyzing geo-spatiotemporal features is crucial to recognize intricate underlying causes of natural events, such as floods. Limited evidence about hidden factors leading to climate change makes it challenging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Jien Zhang , Chaoqun Lu , Ali Jannesari

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Sensors are the key to environmental monitoring, which impart benefits to smart cities in many aspects, such as providing real-time air quality information to assist human decision-making. However, it is impractical to deploy massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Junfeng Hu , Yuxuan Liang , Zhencheng Fan , Li Liu , Yifang Yin , Roger Zimmermann

We propose a new model and estimation framework for spatiotemporal streamflow exceedances above a threshold that flexibly captures asymptotic dependence and independence in the tail of the distribution. We model streamflow using a mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Ryan Li , Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich , Reetam Majumder

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Elnaz Bashir , Jiali Wang , Lin Yan

Despite the huge success of Long Short-Term Memory networks, their applications in environmental sciences are scarce. We argue that one reason is the difficulty to interpret the internals of trained networks. In this study, we look at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Frederik Kratzert , Mathew Herrnegger , Daniel Klotz , Sepp Hochreiter , Günter Klambauer

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians'…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Sirin Haddad , Meiqing Wu , He Wei , Siew Kei Lam

Traffic forecasting represents a crucial problem within intelligent transportation systems. In recent research, Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as a promising method, but their intrinsic design, tailored primarily for sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Hyotaek Jeon , Hyunwook Lee , Juwon Kim , Sungahn Ko

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Time series analysis finds wide applications in fields such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and behavior recognition. Previous methods attempted to model temporal variations directly using 1D time series. However, this has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Qiang Wu , Gechang Yao , Zhixi Feng , Shuyuan Yang

Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a crucial role in various domains, including web data analysis, energy consumption prediction, and weather forecasting. While Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) are lightweight and effective for capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Zhengnan Li , Haoxuan Li , Hao Wang , Jun Fang , Yuting Tan , Xilong Cheng Yunxiao Qin

Accurate spatial-temporal traffic flow forecasting is crucial in aiding traffic managers in implementing control measures and assisting drivers in selecting optimal travel routes. Traditional deep-learning based methods for traffic flow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Pengxin Guo , Pengrong Jin , Ziyue Li , Lei Bai , Yu Zhang

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Sleep quality impacts well-being. Therefore, healthcare providers and individuals need accessible and reliable forecasting tools for preventive interventions. This paper introduces an interpretable, individualized adaptive spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Xueyi Wang , Claudine J. C. Lamoth , Elisabeth Wilhelm