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Nonlinear (systems of) ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are common tools in the analysis of complex one-dimensional dynamic systems. In this paper we propose a smoothing approach regularized by a quasilinearized ODE-based penalty in…
The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…
In this study, we introduce a sensitivity analysis methodology for stochastic systems in chemistry, where dynamics are often governed by random processes. Our approach is based on gradient estimation via finite differences, averaging…
Recently, various algorithms for data-driven simulation and control have been proposed based on the Willems' fundamental lemma. However, when collected data are noisy, these methods lead to ill-conditioned data-driven model structures. In…
We propose a novel Skew Gradient Embedding (SGE) framework for systematically reformulating thermodynamically consistent partial differential equation (PDE) models-capturing both reversible and irreversible processes-as generalized gradient…
In this paper, we propose a novel framework for the joint identification of system dynamics and noise covariance in linear systems, under general noise distributions beyond Gaussian. Specifically, we would like to simultaneously estimate…
In this paper we provide a new analysis of the SEM algorithm. Unlike previous work, we focus on the analysis of a single run of the algorithm. First, we discuss the algorithm for general mixture distributions. Second, we consider Gaussian…
This paper addresses the challenge of a particular class of noisy state observations in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), a common issue in various real-world applications. We focus on modeling this uncertainty through a confusion matrix…
We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…
Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation, but it is generally only guaranteed to find its stationary points of the log-likelihood objective. The goal of this article is to present…
We study properties and parameter estimation of finite-state homogeneous continuous-time bivariate Markov chains. Only one of the two processes of the bivariate Markov chain is observable. The general form of the bivariate Markov chain…
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…
Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…
The operational reliability of a high performance marine vessel depends critically on the health of its marine propulsion systems, which are increasingly subjected to diverse operational loads and environmental stressors. This paper…
We consider the problem of signal estimation (denoising) from a statistical mechanical perspective, using a relationship between the minimum mean square error (MMSE), of estimating a signal, and the mutual information between this signal…
We develop a framework for estimating unknown partial differential equations from noisy data, using a deep learning approach. Given noisy samples of a solution to an unknown PDE, our method interpolates the samples using a neural network,…
This paper investigates the state estimation problem for a class of complex networks, in which the dynamics of each node is subject to Gaussian noise, system uncertainties and nonlinearities. Based on a regularized least-squares approach,…
This paper proposes an identification algorithm for Single Input Single Output (SISO) Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. In the noise-free setting, where the first $T$ Markov parameters can be precisely estimated, all Markov parameters…
The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is a powerful computational technique for finding the maximum likelihood estimates for parametric models when the data are not fully observed. The EM is best suited for situations where the…
This paper presents two schemes to jointly estimate parameters and states of discrete-time nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances and noise and where the parameters belong to a known compact set. The schemes are based on…