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Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop

Estimating the conditional quantile of the interested variable with respect to changes in the covariates is frequent in many economical applications as it can offer a comprehensive insight. In this paper, we propose a novel semiparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Jing Lv

We develop a practical and novel method for inference on intersection bounds, namely bounds defined by either the infimum or supremum of a parametric or nonparametric function, or equivalently, the value of a linear programming problem with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Victor Chernozhukov , Sokbae Lee , Adam M. Rosen

The probability density function (PDF) associated with a given set of samples is approximated by a piecewise-linear polynomial constructed with respect to a binning of the sample space. The kernel functions are a compactly supported basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger

When extreme weather events affect large areas, their regional to sub-continental spatial scale is important for their impacts. We propose a novel machine learning (ML) framework that integrates spatial extreme-value theory to model weather…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-29 Jonathan Koh , Daniel Steinfeld , Olivia Martius

Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on H\"usler-Reiss models, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Johannes Lederer , Marco Oesting

Modelling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for instance when allocating emergency management funds. In statistics, multivariate extreme value theory is often used to model spatial extremes.…

A Gaussian Process GP based ground segmentation method is proposed in this paper which is fully developed in a probabilistic framework. The proposed method tends to obtain a continuous realistic model of the ground. The LiDAR…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We consider a partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract common features across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each sub-population. In particular, we propose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Tianqi Zhao , Guang Cheng , Han Liu

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

Both in terrestrial and extraterrestrial environments, the precise and informative model of the ground and the surface ahead is crucial for navigation and obstacle avoidance. The ground surface is not always flat and it may be sloped, bumpy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

Geometric (also known as spatial) quantiles, introduced by Chaudhury and representing one of the three principal approaches to defining multivariate quantiles, have been well studied in the literature. In this work, we focus on the extremal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

We use semidefinite programming to bound the fractional cut-cover parameter of graphs in association schemes in terms of their smallest eigenvalue. We also extend the equality cases of a primal-dual inequality involving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Henrique Assumpção , Gabriel Coutinho

Motivated by the EVA 2025 Data Challenge, we address the problem of predicting extreme rainfall in the eastern United States using data from a large ensemble of climate model runs. The challenge focuses on three quantities of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Ryan Campbell , Kristina Grolmusova , Lydia Kakampakou , Jeongjin Lee

We propose an $L_{2}$-based penalization algorithm for functional linear regression models, where the coefficient function is shrunk towards a data-driven shape template $\gamma$, which is constrained to belong to a class of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

In this paper, a family of neural network-based survival models is presented. The models are specified based on piecewise definitions of the hazard function and the density function on a partitioning of the time; both constant and linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-28 Olov Holmer , Erik Frisk , Mattias Krysander

In the mixture of experts model, a common assumption is the linearity between a response variable and covariates. While this assumption has theoretical and computational benefits, it may lead to suboptimal estimates by overlooking potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Yeongsan Hwang , Byungtae Seo , Sangkon Oh