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Analysis of the rare and extreme values through statistical modeling is an important issue in economical crises, climate forecasting, and risk management of financial portfolios. Extreme value theory provides the probability models needed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Ali Reza Fotouhi

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

We develop an asymptotic theory of adversarial estimators ('A-estimators'). They generalize maximum-likelihood-type estimators ('M-estimators') as their average objective is maximized by some parameters and minimized by others. This class…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-20 Jonas Metzger

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

Value-based reinforcement-learning algorithms have shown strong results in games, robotics, and other real-world applications. Overestimation bias is a known threat to those algorithms and can sometimes lead to dramatic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Martin Waltz , Ostap Okhrin

Estimation of extreme quantile regions, spaces in which future extreme events can occur with a given low probability, even beyond the range of the observed data, is an important task in the analysis of extremes. Existing methods to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-28 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

We study a non-parametric approach to multivariate density estimation. The estimators are piecewise constant density functions supported by binary partitions. The partition of the sample space is learned by maximizing the likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

This work addresses the problem of estimating the parameters of the general half-normal distribution. Namely, the problem of determining the minimum risk equi\-va\-riant (MRE) estimators of the parameters is explored. Simulation studies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales , P. Pérez , P. Monfort

This paper analyzes the approximate control variate (ACV) approach to multifidelity uncertainty quantification in the case where weighted estimators are combined to form the components of the ACV. The weighted estimators enable one to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-23 Alex A. Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred

Extreme value theory (EVT) is well suited to model extreme events, such as floods, heatwaves, or mechanical failures, which is required for reliability assessment of systems across multiple domains for risk management and loss prevention.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-15 Shehzaib Irfan , Nabeel Ahmad , Alexander Vinel , Daniel F. Silva , Shuai Shao , Nima Shamsaei , Jia Liu

We develop a practical way of addressing the Errors-In-Variables (EIV) problem in the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework. We focus on the settings in which the variability of the EIV is a fraction of that of the mismeasured…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Kirill S. Evdokimov , Andrei Zeleneev

In recent years, quantum machine learning (QML) has been actively used for various tasks, e.g., classification, reinforcement learning, and adversarial learning. However, these QML studies are unable to carry out complex tasks due to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-11-15 Won Joon Yun , Hankyul Baek , Joongheon Kim

When analysing extreme values, two alternative statistical approaches have historically been held in contention: the block maxima method (or annual maxima method, spurred by hydrological applications) and the peaks-over-threshold. Clamoured…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Claudia Neves , Chang Xu

The classical approach to multivariate extreme value modelling assumes that the joint distribution belongs to a multivariate domain of attraction. This requires each marginal distribution be individually attracted to a univariate extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Sidney Resnick , David Zeber

This paper investigates a channel estimator based on Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) in the context of linear inverse problems with additive Gaussian noise. We fit a GMM to given channel samples to obtain an analytic probability density…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-14 Michael Koller , Benedikt Fesl , Nurettin Turan , Wolfgang Utschick

Estimation of a single Bernoulli parameter using pooled sampling is among the oldest problems in the group testing literature. To carry out such estimation, an array of efficient estimators have been introduced covering a wide range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky

With contemporary data sets becoming too large to analyze the data directly, various forms of aggregated data are becoming common. The original individual data are points, but after aggregation, the observations are interval-valued (e.g.).…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-21 S. Yaser Samadi , L. Billard , Jiin-Huarng Guo , Wei Xu

In this paper we investigate the performance of a variety of estimation techniques for the scale and shape parameter of the Lomax distribution. These methods include traditional methods such as the maximum likelihood estimator and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Thobeka Nombebe , James Allison , Leonard Santana , Jaco Visagie
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