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Related papers: Modeling wildfire dynamics through a physics-based…

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With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

A wildfire model is formulated based on balance equations for energy and fuel, where the fuel loss due to combustion corresponds to the fuel reaction rate. The resulting coupled partial differential equations have coefficients that can be…

We have studied the front propagation in a one dimensional case of combustion by solving numerically an advection-reaction-diffusion equation. The physical model is simplified so that no coupling phenomena are considered and the reacting…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2011-04-07 Federico Bianco , Sergio Chibbaro , Roger Prud'homme

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

In this work, we introduce a compartmental advection-diffusion network model to describe the propagation of stress in a population situated in two interconnected spatial zones during a disaster situation. The model accounts for interactions…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Kamal Khalil , Irmand Leblond Mikiela Ndzoumbou

Extreme wildfires are a significant cause of human death and biodiversity destruction within countries that encompass the Mediterranean Basin. Recent worrying trends in wildfire activity (i.e., occurrence and spread) suggest that wildfires…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , Emanuele Bevacqua , Jakob Zscheischler

Fuel moisture content (FMC) is a key predictor for wildfire rate of spread (ROS). Machine learning models of FMC are being used more in recent years, augmenting or replacing traditional physics-based approaches. Wildfire rate of spread…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Jonathon Hirschi

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

This paper presents the development of a new continuous forest fire model implemented as a weighted local small-world network approach. This new approach was designed to simulate fire patterns in real, heterogeneous landscapes. The wildland…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-02 F. Aguayo , A. Fuentes , J. -P. Clerc , B. Porterie

Heat diffusion describes the process by which heat flows from areas with higher temperatures to ones with lower temperatures. This concept was previously adapted to graph structures, whereby heat flows between nodes of a graph depending on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Stephan Goerttler , Fei He , Min Wu

This paper focuses on the statistical properties of wild-land fires and, in particular, investigates if spread dynamics relates to simple invasion model. The fractal dimension and lacunarity of three fire scars classified from satellite…

Wildfires cause major losses worldwide, and the frequency of fire-weather conditions is likely to increase in many regions. We study the allocation of suppression resources over time on a graph-based representation of a landscape to slow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Gustavo Delazeri , Marcus Ritt

The spatio-temporal dynamics of a population present one of the most fascinating aspects and challenges for ecological modelling. In this article we review some simple mathematical models, based on one dimensional…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-11-18 A. B. Ryabov , B. Blasius

The reaction of volatile matter plays an important role in the process of bringing matter from the surface of the planet to the atmosphere. Therefore, by simulating the mixing and chemical reaction process of volatile matter in the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Zihan Huang , Xuewei Yang

There are many wildfire behaviors of increasing relevance that are outside the forecast capabilities of even the most sophisticated operational fire spread and fire behavior model. The limitations of the operational models are due primarily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-26 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Steven K. Krueger , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

An inherent fragility of quadrotor systems stems from model inaccuracies and external disturbances. These factors hinder performance and compromise the stability of the system, making precise control challenging. Existing model-based…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Avirup Das , Rishabh Dev Yadav , Sihao Sun , Mingfei Sun , Samuel Kaski , Wei Pan