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Current techniques for predicting climate change are mainly based on "massive" deterministic numerical modeling. However, the ocean-atmosphere system is a so-called "complex system", made up of a large number of interacting elements. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Francois Louchet

The oceans play a fundamental role in Earth's climate system, redistributing heat and influencing global and regional climate variability and predictability across weather and climate timescales. The benefits of ocean-atmosphere coupling…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Christopher David Roberts , Sarah Keeley , Kristian Mogensen , Charles Pelletier , Hao Zuo

While previous model sensitivity studies have mainly focused on discerning the soil moisture-precipitation feedback processes over the Indian region, the present study investigates the impact of soil moisture-temperature (SM-T) coupling on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-24 Naresh G Ganeshi , Milind Mujumdar , Takaya Yuhei , Mangesh M Goswami , Bhupendra Bahadur Singh , R Krishnan , Toru Terao

Solar variability investigations that include magnetic energy coupling are paramount to solving many key solar/stellar physics problems, particularly for understanding the temporal variability of magnetic energy redistribution and heating…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-28 N. Brice Orange , David L. Chesny , Bruce Gendre , David C. Morris , Hakeem M. Oluseyi

In recent years extensive studies on the Earth's climate system have been carried out by means of advanced complex network statistics. The great majority of these studies, however, have been focusing on investigating correlation structures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-20 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Dörthe Handorf , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

A climate state close to a tipping point will have a degenerate linear response to perturbations, which can be associated with extreme values of the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS). In this paper we contrast linearized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-21 Peter Ashwin , Anna S. von der Heydt

Climate resilience across sectors varies significantly in low-income countries (LICs), with agriculture being the most vulnerable to climate change. Existing studies typically focus on individual countries, offering limited insights into…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ronald Katende

We study the impact of the coupling topology on the ability of various networked dynamical systems to generate extreme events. By determining the coupling strength that is necessary to generate an extreme event in the collective dynamics of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-29 Christian Hechler , Timo Bröhl , Ulrike Feudel , Klaus Lehnertz

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

Earth's climate, mantle, and core interact over geologic timescales. Climate influences whether plate tectonics can take place on a planet, with cool climates being favorable for plate tectonics because they enhance stresses in the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-21 Bradford J. Foley , Peter E. Driscoll

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

We consider a cosmology in which dark matter and a quintessence scalar field responsible for the acceleration of the Universe are allowed to interact. Allowing for both conformal and disformal couplings, we perform a global analysis of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-22 Carsten van de Bruck , Jurgen Mifsud , Jack Morrice

Molecular dynamics simulations are used to model ion and neutral temperature evolution in partially-ionized atmospheric pressure plasma at different ionization fractions. Results show that ion-ion interactions are strongly coupled at…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-01-04 M. D. Acciarri , C. Moore , S. D. Baalrud

Vegetation often understood merely as the result of long-term climate conditions. However, vegetation itself plays a fundamental role in shaping Earth's climate by regulating the energy, water, and biogeochemical cycles across terrestrial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Diego G. Miralles , Jordi Vila-Guerau de Arellano , Tim R. McVicar , Miguel D. Mahecha

The identification of regions of similar climatological behavior can be utilized for the discovery of spatial relationships over long-range scales, including teleconnections. In this regard, the global picture of the interdependence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-06 Zhen Su , Henning Meyerhenke , Jürgen Kurths

This review synthesizes recent advancements in understanding tipping points and cascading transitions within the Earth system, framing them through the lens of nonlinear dynamics and complexity science. It outlines the fundamental concepts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sheng Fang , Ziyan Wang , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan