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This work introduces a regime-aware in-context learning framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for financial volatility forecasting under nonstationary market conditions. The proposed approach deploys pretrained LLMs to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Saba Asaad , Shayan Mohajer Hamidi , Ali Bereyhi

Reasoning about real-life events is a unifying challenge in AI and NLP that has profound utility in a variety of domains, while fallacy in high-stake applications could be catastrophic. Able to work with diverse text in these domains, large…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Li Zhang

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive multimodal reasoning capabilities, yet their understanding of purely numerical time-series signals remains limited. Existing approaches mainly focus on forecasting or trend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Ninghui Feng , Yiyan Qi

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently emerged as promising tools for recommendation thanks to their advanced textual understanding ability and context-awareness. Despite the current practice of training and evaluating LLM-based…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Sein Kim , Hongseok Kang , Kibum Kim , Jiwan Kim , Donghyun Kim , Minchul Yang , Kwangjin Oh , Julian McAuley , Chanyoung Park

This paper introduces BreakGPT, a novel large language model (LLM) architecture adapted specifically for time series forecasting and the prediction of sharp upward movements in asset prices. By leveraging both the capabilities of LLMs and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Aleksandr Simonyan

Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at zero-shot unimodal forecasting using numerical data, but unlike LLMs they cannot consume multimodal, non-numerical context that often shape real-world trajectories. In this work, we bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Haoxin Liu , Yichen Zhou , Rajat Sen , B. Aditya Prakash , Abhimanyu Das

Are Large language models (LLMs) temporally grounded? Since LLMs cannot perceive and interact with the environment, it is impossible to answer this question directly. Instead, we provide LLMs with textual narratives and probe them with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Yifu Qiu , Zheng Zhao , Yftah Ziser , Anna Korhonen , Edoardo M. Ponti , Shay B. Cohen

Accurate prediction of human behavior is crucial for AI systems to effectively support real-world applications, such as autonomous robots anticipating and assisting with human tasks. Real-world scenarios frequently present challenges such…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Kojiro Takeyama , Yimeng Liu , Misha Sra

Effective recommender systems demand dynamic user understanding, especially in complex, evolving environments. Traditional user profiling often fails to capture the nuanced, temporal contextual factors of user preferences, such as transient…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Milad Sabouri , Masoud Mansoury , Kun Lin , Bamshad Mobasher

The importance of recommender systems is growing rapidly due to the exponential increase in the volume of content generated daily. This surge in content presents unique challenges for designing effective recommender systems. Key among these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jiahao Tian , Jinman Zhao , Zhenkai Wang , Zhicheng Ding

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown strong potential in generating natural language explanations for recommender systems. However, existing methods often overlook the sequential dynamics of user behavior and rely on evaluation metrics…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Gangyi Zhang , Runzhe Teng , Chongming Gao

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in statistical research and applications. However,they are also notorious for unreliable or biased information. Here, we explore whether LLMs can be used to improve the precision of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Jaylin Lowe , Adam Sales , Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch

Temporal reasoning over tabular data presents substantial challenges for large language models (LLMs), as evidenced by recent research. In this study, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of temporal datasets to pinpoint the specific…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Irwin Deng , Kushagra Dixit , Vivek Gupta , Dan Roth

Most of the existing medication recommendation models are predicted with only structured data such as medical codes, with the remaining other large amount of unstructured or semi-structured data underutilization. To increase the utilization…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yu-Tzu Lee

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, transportation, and industry. However, traditional models often focus solely on temporal features, limiting their ability to capture underlying information. This paper proposes a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Chuncheng Lu

Accurate typhoon track forecasting is crucial for early system warning and disaster response. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance in modeling the temporal dynamics of dense trajectories of humans and vehicles…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Lincan Li , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

With the increasing impacts of climate change, there is a growing demand for accessible tools that can provide reliable future climate information to support planning, finance, and other decision-making applications. Large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Yang Wang , Hassan A. Karimi

Spatio-temporal forecasting is pivotal in numerous real-world applications, including transportation planning, energy management, and climate monitoring. In this work, we aim to harness the reasoning and generalization abilities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hao Wang , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Leilei Sun , Hao Liu

The proliferation of time series foundation models has created a landscape where no single method achieves consistent superiority, framing the central challenge not as finding the best model, but as orchestrating an optimal ensemble with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Defu Cao , Michael Gee , Jinbo Liu , Hengxuan Wang , Wei Yang , Rui Wang , Yan Liu

Time series forecasts are often influenced by exogenous contextual features in addition to their corresponding history. For example, in financial settings, it is hard to accurately predict a stock price without considering public sentiments…