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Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

Cross-validation under sample selection bias can, in principle, be done by importance-weighting the empirical risk. However, the importance-weighted risk estimator produces sub-optimal hyperparameter estimates in problem settings where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Wouter M. Kouw , Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) methods use a set of proposal distributions from which samples are drawn. Each sample is then assigned an importance weight that can be obtained according to different strategies. This work is motivated by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

The problem of characterizing a multivariate distribution of a random vector using examination of univariate combinations of vector components is an essential issue of multivariate analysis. The likelihood principle plays a prominent role…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Albert Vexler

We address the weighting problem in voluntary samples under a nonignorable sample selection model. Under the assumption that the sample selection model is correctly specified, we can compute a consistent estimator of the model parameter and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

Robust estimation of location and concentration parameters for the von Mises-Fisher distribution is discussed. A key reparametrisation is achieved by expressing the two parameters as one vector on the Euclidean space. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-01 Shogo Kato , Shinto Eguchi

The analysis of large-scale datasets, especially in biomedical contexts, frequently involves a principled screening of multiple hypotheses. The celebrated two-group model jointly models the distribution of the test statistics with mixtures…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Francesco Denti , Stefano Peluso , Michele Guindani , Antonietta Mira

The technique of wrapping of a univariate probability distribution is very effective in getting a circular form of the underlying density. In this article, we introduce the circular (wrapped) version of xgamma distribution and study its…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-04 Hazem Al-Mofleh , Subhradev Sen

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna

The parameters of the log-logistic distribution are generally estimated based on classical methods such as maximum likelihood estimation, whereas these methods usually result in severe biased estimates when the data contain outliers. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Zhuanzhuan Ma , Min Wang , Chanseok Park

Many datasets are observed on a finite set of equally spaced directions instead of the exact angles, such as the wind direction data. However, in the statistical literature, bivariate models are only available for continuous circular random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Brajesh Kumar Dhakad , Jayant Jha , Debepsita Mukherjee

Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Moritz Marbach

In many applications, data cluster. Failing to take the cluster structure into consideration generally leads to underestimated variances of point estimators and inflated type I errors in hypothesis tests. Many circumstance-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Jiahua Chen , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , James V. Zidek

Motivated by molecular biology, there has been an upsurge of research activities in directional statistics in general and its Bayesian aspect in particular. The central distribution for the circular case is von Mises distribution which has…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Peter G. M. Forbes , Kanti V. Mardia

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Weixin Yao

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ying Liu , James M. Flegal

Nonparametric tests for equality of multivariate distributions are frequently desired in research. It is commonly required that test-procedures based on relatively small samples of vectors accurately control the corresponding Type I Error…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-14 Ablert Vexler , Gregory Gurevich , Li Zou

In this paper, we propose a new flexible distribution for data on the three-dimensional torus which we call a trivariate wrapped Cauchy copula. Our trivariate copula has several attractive properties. It has a simple form of density and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Shogo Kato , Christophe Ley , Sophia Loizidou , Kanti V. Mardia