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Causal discovery in time series is increasingly performed using nonlinear machine-learning models, yet the resulting causal relationships are almost always summarized by scalar edge scores. We argue that this practice obscures the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Valentina V. Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

In this article, we study large-dimensional matrix factor models and estimate the factor loading matrices and factor score matrix by minimizing square loss function. Interestingly, the resultant estimators coincide with the Projected…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang , Changwei Zhao

Supervised learning models are one of the most fundamental classes of models. Viewing supervised learning from a probabilistic perspective, the set of training data to which the model is fitted is usually assumed to follow a stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Kungang Zhang , Anh T. Bui , Daniel W. Apley

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

Distribution shifts between training and testing datasets significantly impair the model performance on graph learning. A commonly-taken causal view in graph invariant learning suggests that stable predictive features of graphs are causally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Bohan Wang , Yurui Chang , Wei Jin , Lu Lin

Many training data attribution (TDA) methods aim to estimate how a model's behavior would change if one or more data points were removed from the training set. Methods based on implicit differentiation, such as influence functions, can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Juhan Bae , Wu Lin , Jonathan Lorraine , Roger Grosse

Factor models are widely used to reduce dimensionality in modeling high-dimensional data. However, there remains a need for models that can be reliably fit in modest sample sizes and are identifiable, interpretable, and flexible. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Maoran Xu , Steven Winter , Amy H. Herring , David B. Dunson

We reconcile the two worlds of dense and sparse modeling by exploiting the positive aspects of both. We employ a factor model and assume {the dynamic of the factors is non-pervasive while} the idiosyncratic term follows a sparse vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jonas Krampe , Luca Margaritella

Identifying the direct causes or causal parents of a target variable is crucial for scientific discovery. Focusing on linear models, the invariant prediction framework was built upon the invariance principle, namely, the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Kang Du , Yu Xiang , Ilya Soloveychik

Classification is a central problem for dynamical systems, in particular for families that arise in a wide range of topics, like substitution subshifts. It is important to be able to distinguish whether two such subshifts are isomorphic,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Fabien Durand , Julien Leroy

In this paper, we propose a simplex regression model in which both the mean and the dispersion parameters are related to covariates by nonlinear predictors. We provide closed-form expressions for the score function, for Fisher's information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Patrícia Espinheira , Alisson de Oliveira Silva

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Ruey S. Tsay , Rong Chen

Identification theory for causal effects in causal models associated with hidden variable directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is well studied. However, the corresponding algorithms are underused due to the complexity of estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Rohit Bhattacharya , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser

Given labeled data represented by a binary matrix, we consider the task to derive a Boolean matrix factorization which identifies commonalities and specifications among the classes. While existing works focus on rank-one factorizations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Sibylle Hess , Katharina Morik

Matrix factor model is drawing growing attention for simultaneous two-way dimension reduction of well-structured matrix-valued observations. This paper focuses on robust statistical inference for matrix factor model in the ``diverging…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Yong He , Xin-Bing Kong , Dong Liu , Ran Zhao

Causal representation learning promises to extend causal models to hidden causal variables from raw entangled measurements. However, most progress has focused on proving identifiability results in different settings, and we are not aware of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Dingling Yao , Caroline Muller , Francesco Locatello

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

This paper presents a novel approach to synthesizing positive invariant sets for unmodeled nonlinear systems using direct data-driven techniques. The data-driven invariant sets are used to design a data-driven reference governor that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-09 Ali Kashani , Claus Danielson

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein
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