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The following zero-sum game between nature and a statistician blends Bayesian methods with frequentist methods such as p-values and confidence intervals. Nature chooses a posterior distribution consistent with a set of possible priors. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-19 David R. Bickel

Quantile and quantile effect functions are important tools for descriptive and causal analyses due to their natural and intuitive interpretation. Existing inference methods for these functions do not apply to discrete random variables. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Blaise Melly , Kaspar Wüthrich

Distribution-free predictive inference beyond the construction of prediction sets has gained a lot of interest in recent applications. One such application is the selection task, where the objective is to design a reliable selection rule to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yonghoon Lee , Zhimei Ren

The problem of multiple hypothesis testing arises when there are more than one hypothesis to be tested simultaneously for statistical significance. This is a very common situation in many data mining applications. For instance, assessing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-06-30 Sami Hanhijärvi , Kai Puolamäki , Gemma C. Garriga

Current statistical inference problems in areas like astronomy, genomics, and marketing routinely involve the simultaneous testing of thousands -- even millions -- of null hypotheses. For high-dimensional multivariate distributions, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Weixin Cai , Nima S. Hejazi , Alan E. Hubbard

This paper investigates improved testing inferences under a general multivariate elliptical regression model. The model is very flexible in terms of the specification of the mean vector and the dispersion matrix, and of the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-01 T. F. N. Melo , S. L. P. Ferrari , A. G. Patriota

In online multiple testing, the hypotheses arrive one by one, and at each time we must immediately reject or accept the current hypothesis solely based on the data and hypotheses observed so far. Many online procedures have been proposed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lasse Fischer , Ziyu Xu , Aaditya Ramdas

We investigate the multiplicity model with m values of some test statistic independently drawn from a mixture of no effect (null) and positive effect (alternative), where we seek to identify, the alternative test results with a controlled…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Zhiwen Jiang , Stephan Morgenthaler

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

The problem of combining p-values is an old and fundamental one, and the classic assumption of independence is often violated or unverifiable in many applications. There are many well-known rules that can combine a set of arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Matteo Gasparin , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of sequential multiple hypothesis testing with nontrivial data collection costs. This problem appears, for example, when conducting biological experiments to identify differentially expressed genes of a disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Thomas Cook , Harsh Vardhan Dubey , Ji Ah Lee , Guangyu Zhu , Tingting Zhao , Patrick Flaherty

We propose a new statistical hypothesis testing framework which decides visually, using confidence intervals, whether the means of two samples are equal or if one is larger than the other. With our method, the user can at the same time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Timothée Mathieu

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

For multiple testing based on p-values with c\`{a}dl\`{a}g distribution functions, we propose an FDR procedure "BH+" with proven conservativeness. BH+ is at least as powerful as the BH procedure when they are applied to super-uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Xiongzhi Chen

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

In many large multiple testing problems the hypotheses are divided into families. Given the data, families with evidence for true discoveries are selected, and hypotheses within them are tested. Neither controlling the error-rate in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Yoav Benjamini , Marina Bogomolov

P-hacking poses challenges to traditional hypothesis testing. In this paper, we propose a robust method for the one-sample significance test that can protect against p-hacking from sample manipulation. Precisely, assuming a sequential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Permutation tests date back nearly a century to Fisher's randomized experiments, and remain an immensely popular statistical tool, used for testing hypotheses of independence between variables and other common inferential questions. Much of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-05 Aaditya Ramdas , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Shape constraints yield flexible middle grounds between fully nonparametric and fully parametric approaches to modeling distributions of data. The specific assumption of log-concavity is motivated by applications across economics, survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Robin Dunn , Aditya Gangrade , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas
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