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We study how to combine p-values and e-values, and design multiple testing procedures where both p-values and e-values are available for every hypothesis. Our results provide a new perspective on multiple testing with data-driven weights:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Multiple testing of a single hypothesis and testing multiple hypotheses are usually done in terms of p-values. In this paper we replace p-values with their natural competitor, e-values, which are closely related to betting, Bayes factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

E-processes enable hypothesis testing with ongoing data collection while maintaining Type I error control. However, when testing multiple hypotheses simultaneously, current $e$-value based multiple testing methods such as e-BH are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Yury Tavyrikov , Jelle J. Goeman , Rianne de Heide

Probability forecasts for binary events play a central role in many applications. Their quality is commonly assessed with proper scoring rules, which assign forecasts a numerical score such that a correct forecast achieves a minimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Alexander Henzi , Johanna F. Ziegel

The e-BH procedure is an e-value-based multiple testing procedure that provably controls the false discovery rate (FDR) under any dependence structure between the e-values. Despite this appealing theoretical FDR control guarantee, the e-BH…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Junu Lee , Zhimei Ren

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is estimation of unknowns. Point estimates alone are of little value without an accompanying measure of uncertainty, but traditional uncertainty quantification methods, such as confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Neil Dey , Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams

A standard practice in statistical hypothesis testing is to mention the p-value alongside the accept/reject decision. We show the advantages of mentioning an e-value instead. With p-values, it is not clear how to use an extreme observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Peter Grünwald

A/B tests are typically analyzed via frequentist p-values and confidence intervals; but these inferences are wholly unreliable if users endogenously choose samples sizes by *continuously monitoring* their tests. We define *always valid*…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Ramesh Johari , Leo Pekelis , David J. Walsh

In this paper we use e-values in the context of multiple hypothesis testing assuming that the base tests produce independent, or sequential, e-values. Our simulation and empirical studies and theoretical considerations suggest that, under…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

We discuss systematically two versions of confidence regions: those based on p-values and those based on e-values, a recent alternative to p-values. Both versions can be applied to multiple hypothesis testing, and in this paper we are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

We explicitly define the notions of (bona fide, approximate or asymptotic) compound p-values and e-values, which have been implicitly presented and used in the recent multiple testing literature. While it is known that the e-BH procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Motivated by recent findings in Li and Zhang (2025), which established an equivalence between certain p-value-based multiple testing procedures and the e-Benjamini-Hochberg procedure (Wang and Ramdas, 2022), we introduce a general framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Guanxun Li , Xianyang Zhang

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Forecasting and forecast evaluation are inherently sequential tasks. Predictions are often issued on a regular basis, such as every hour, day, or month, and their quality is monitored continuously. However, the classical statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Sebastian Arnold , Alexander Henzi , Johanna F. Ziegel

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification. The standard approach to conformal prediction relies on comparing the ranks of prediction scores: under exchangeability, the rank of a future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

A hypothesis testing and an interval estimation are studied for the common mean of several lognormal populations. Two methods are given based on the concept of generalized p-value and generalized confidence interval. These new methods are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Javad Behboodian , Ali Akbar Jafari

This article gives a survey of the e-value, a statistical significance measure a.k.a. the evidence rendered by observational data, X, in support of a statistical hypothesis, H, or, the other way around, the epistemic value of H given X. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Julio Michael Stern , Carlos Alberto de Braganca Pereira

Many multiple testing procedures make use of the p-values from the individual pairs of hypothesis tests, and are valid if the p-value statistics are independent and uniformly distributed under the null hypotheses. However, it has recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-25 Joshua D. Habiger , Edsel A. Pena

The e-value is swiftly rising in prominence in many applications of hypothesis testing and multiple testing, yet its relationship to classical testing theory remains elusive. We unify e-values and classical testing into a single 'continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Nick W. Koning

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt
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