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We study the empirical scaling laws of a family of encoder-decoder autoregressive transformer models on the task of joint motion forecasting and planning in the autonomous driving domain. Using a 500 thousand hours driving dataset, we…

Hyperparameter transfer has become an important component of modern large-scale training recipes. Existing methods, such as muP, primarily focus on transfer between model sizes, with transfer across batch sizes and training horizons often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Egor Shulgin , Dimitri von Rütte , Tianyue H. Zhang , Niccolò Ajroldi , Bernhard Schölkopf , Antonio Orvieto

Recent work has shown that, in generative modeling, cross-entropy loss improves smoothly with model size and training compute, following a power law plus constant scaling law. One challenge in extending these results to reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Jacob Hilton , Jie Tang , John Schulman

Sequential recommender systems have achieved steady gains in offline accuracy, yet it remains unclear how close current models are to the intrinsic accuracy limit imposed by the data. A reliable, model-agnostic estimate of this ceiling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-15 En Xu , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

As neural networks continue to grow in size but datasets might not, it is vital to understand how much performance improvement can be expected: is it more important to scale network size or data volume? Thus, neural network scaling laws,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Akhilan Boopathy , Ila Fiete

Approximation of entropies of various types using machine learning (ML) regression methods are shown for the first time. The ML models presented in this study define the complexity of the short time series by approximating dissimilar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Andrei Velichko , Maksim Belyaev , Matthias P. Wagner , Alireza Taravat

Recommender systems aim to estimate the dynamically changing user preferences and sequential dependencies between historical user behaviour and metadata. Although transformer-based models have proven to be effective in sequential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Mark Obozov , Makar Baderko , Stepan Kulibaba , Nikolay Kutuzov , Alexander Gasnikov

In machine learning, the scaling law describes how the model performance improves with the model and data size scaling up. From a learning theory perspective, this class of results establishes upper and lower generalization bounds for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Shihong Ding , Haihan Zhang , Hanzhen Zhao , Cong Fang

The scaling law is a notable property of neural network models and has significantly propelled the development of large language models. Scaling laws hold great promise in guiding model design and resource allocation. Recent research…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Yunli Wang , Zhen Zhang , Zixuan Yang , Tianyu Xu , Zhiqiang Wang , Yu Li , Rufan Zhou , Zhiqiang Liu , Yanjie Zhu , Jian Yang , Shiyang Wen , Peng Jiang

Empirically, large-scale deep learning models often satisfy a neural scaling law: the test error of the trained model improves polynomially as the model size and data size grow. However, conventional wisdom suggests the test error consists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Licong Lin , Jingfeng Wu , Sham M. Kakade , Peter L. Bartlett , Jason D. Lee

Recommendation systems are essential for filtering data and retrieving relevant information across various applications. Recent advancements have seen these systems incorporate increasingly large embedding tables, scaling up to tens of…

Sampling is ubiquitous in machine learning methodologies. Due to the growth of large datasets and model complexity, we want to learn and adapt the sampling process while training a representation. Towards achieving this grand goal, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Jason Xiaotian Dou , Alvin Qingkai Pan , Runxue Bao , Haiyi Harry Mao , Lei Luo , Zhi-Hong Mao

Recent work on neural scaling laws demonstrates that model performance scales predictably with compute budget, model size, and dataset size. In this work, we develop scaling laws based on problem complexity. We analyze two fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Lowell Weissman , Michael Krumdick , A. Lynn Abbott

We present a limited empirical study of scaling laws for transfer learning in transformer models. More specifically, we examine a scaling law that incorporates a "transfer gap" term, indicating the effectiveness of pre-training on one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Matthew Barnett

Neural scaling laws establish a predictable relationship between model performance and data or compute, offering crucial guidance for resource allocation in new domains and tasks. Yet such laws are most needed precisely where they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Xing Han , Ziyin Liu , Suchi Saria , Paul Pu Liang

Training compute is increasingly outpacing the availability of high-quality data. This shifts the central challenge from optimal compute allocation to extracting maximum value from limited data. The widely adopted Chinchilla scaling law…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Justin Lovelace , Christian Belardi , Srivatsa Kundurthy , Shriya Sudhakar , Kilian Q. Weinberger

While the scaling laws of large language models (LLMs) training have been extensively studied, optimal inference configurations of LLMs remain underexplored. We study inference scaling laws (aka test-time scaling laws) and compute-optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yangzhen Wu , Zhiqing Sun , Shanda Li , Sean Welleck , Yiming Yang

Scaling laws have shaped recent advances in machine learning by enabling predictable scaling of model performance based on model size, computation, and data volume. Concurrently, the rise in computational cost for AI has motivated model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Andrei Panferov , Alexandra Volkova , Ionut-Vlad Modoranu , Vage Egiazarian , Mher Safaryan , Dan Alistarh

The success of Large Language Models (LLMs) has established that scaling compute, through joint increases in model capacity and dataset size, is the primary driver of performance in modern machine learning. While machine learning has long…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-02-18 Matthias Vigl , Nicole Hartman , Michael Kagan , Lukas Heinrich

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have been largely driven by scaling laws for individual models, which predict performance improvements as model parameters and data volume increase. However, the capabilities of any single LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Dakuan Lu , Jiaqi Zhang , Cheng Yuan , Jiawei Shao , Xuelong Li