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We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

The dynamics of two competing species in a finite size community is one of the most studied problems in population genetics and community ecology. Stochastic fluctuations lead, inevitably, to the extinction of one of the species, but the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-30 Matan Danino , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this work, we propose a stochastic version of the Rosenzweig-MacArthur model solely driven by internal demographic noise, extending classical Lotka-Volterra-type systems focused on external noise. We give a criterion for the existence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Louis Shuo Wang , Jiguang Yu

We analyze a general theory for coexistence and extinction of ecological communities that are influenced by stochastic temporal environmental fluctuations. The results apply to discrete time (stochastic difference equations), continuous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Peter Chesson

For years, a main focus of ecological research has been to better understand the complex dynamical interactions between species which comprise food webs. Using the connectance properties of a widely explored synthetic food web called the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Sepideh Vafaie , Deepak Bal , Michael A. S. Thorne , Eric Forgoston

Cyclic dominance of species has been identified as a potential mechanism to maintain biodiversity, see e.g. B. Kerr, M. A. Riley, M. W. Feldman and B. J. M. Bohannan [Nature {\bf 418}, 171 (2002)] and B. Kirkup and M. A. Riley [Nature {\bf…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

We investigate the classical two species ODE and PDE Lotka-Volterra competition models, where one of the competitors could potentially go extinct in finite time. We show that in this setting, classical theories and intuitions do not hold,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Rana D. Parshad , Kwadwo Antwi-Fordjour , Eric M. Takyi

Stochastic chemical reaction or population dynamics in finite systems often terminates in an absorbing state. Yet in large spatially extended systems, the time to reach species extinction (or fixation) becomes exceedingly long. Tuning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-17 Kenneth A. V. Distefano , Sara Shabani , Uwe C. Täuber

Environmental noise can cause an exponential reduction in the mean time to extinction (MTE) of an isolated population. We study this effect on an example of a stochastic birth-death process with rates modulated by a colored Gaussian noise.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson , Boris Shklovskii

We analyze purely competitive many-species Lotka-Volterra systems with random interaction matrices, focusing the attention on statistical properties of their asymptotic states. Generic features of the evolution are outlined from a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Guillermo Abramson , Damian Zanette

In this note, we study the long time behavior of Lotka-Volterra systems whose coefficients vary randomly. Benam and Lobry established that randomly switching between two environments that are both favorable to the same species may lead to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-18 Florent Malrieu , Tran Hoa Phu

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

The extinction time of an isolated population can be exponentially reduced by a periodic modulation of its environment. We investigate this effect using, as an example, a stochastic branching-annihilation process with a time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Michael Assaf , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

In this work we construct individual-based models that give rise to the generalized logistic model at the mean-field deterministic level and that allow us to interpret the parameters of these models in terms of individual interactions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Vicenc Mendez , Michael Assaf , Werner Horsthemke , Daniel Campos

The paper deals with a multiple species Lotka-Volterra model with infinite distributed delays and feedback controls, for which we assume a weak form of diagonal dominance of the instantaneous negative intra-specific terms over the infinite…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Teresa Faria , Yoshiaki Muroya

When four species compete stochastically in a cyclic way, the formation of two teams of mutually neutral partners is observed. In this paper we study through numerical simulations the extinction processes that can take place in this system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-14 Ben Intoy , Michel Pleimling

Population dynamics of a competitive two-species system under the influence of random events are analyzed and expressions for the steady-state population mean, fluctuations, and cross-correlation of the two species are presented. It is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-19 M. M. Tehrani , S. Soltanieh

This paper formulates two 3D stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of two microbial populations in a chemostat competing over a single substrate. The two models have two distinct noise sources. One is general noise whereas the other is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Dimitrios Voulgarelis , Ajoy Valayudhan , Frank Smith

Species extinction is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. Competition between species in a population is considered by ecological niche-based theories as a key factor leading to different severity of species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , John T. Bruun

Motivated by modeling the dynamics of a population living in a flowing medium where the environmental factors are random in space, we have studied an asymmetric variant of the one-dimensional contact process, where the quenched random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-16 Róbert Juhász