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Let $X$ be a random vector with distribution $P_{\theta}$ where $\theta$ is an unknown parameter. When estimating $\theta$ by some estimator $\varphi(X)$ under a loss function $L(\theta,\varphi)$, classical decision theory advocates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 Dominique Fourdrinier , Martin T. Wells

This paper presents several situations leading to the observation of multiple correlated copies of a drifted process, and then non-asymptotic risk bounds are established on nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b_0$ and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Nicolas Marie

The solution of a parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by an infinite-dimensional Brownian motion is in general not a semi-martingale anymore and does in general not satisfy an It\^{o} formula like the solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-04 Arnulf Jentzen , Peter Kloeden

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

Trawl processes belong to the class of continuous-time, strictly stationary, infinitely divisible processes; they are defined as Levy bases evaluated over deterministic trawl sets. This article presents the first nonparametric estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider a class of stochastic processes $X$ defined by $X\left( t\right) =\int_{0}^{T}G\left( t,s\right) dM\left( s\right) $ for $t\in\lbrack0,T]$, where $M$ is a square-integrable continuous martingale and $G$ is a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Francesco Russo , Frederi Viens

In this paper we investigate a problem of large deviations for continuous Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study the behavior, in the near future after $T$, of a Volterra process driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Barbara Pacchiarotti

We estimate nonparametrically the spatially varying diffusivity of a stochastic heat equation from observations perturbed by additional noise. To that end, we employ a two-step localization procedure, more precisely, we combine local state…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of time-dependent multivariate functions observed in a presence of additive cylindrical Gaussian white noise of a small intensity. We derive minimax lower bounds for the $L^2$-risk in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Jérémie Bigot , Theofanis Sapatinas

Bayesian estimation is a vital tool in robotics as it allows systems to update the robot state belief using incomplete information from noisy sensors. To render the state estimation problem tractable, many systems assume that the motion and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Steven A. Parkison , Ria Arora , James Richard Forbes , Liam Paull

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider stochastic differential equation $$ d X_t=b(X_t) dt +d W_t^H, $$ where the drift $b$ is either a measure or an integrable function, and $W^H$ is a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Oleg Butkovsky , Khoa Lê , Leonid Mytnik

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma r_t^\beta dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants, $\beta\in(\frac12,1)$. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Olena Dehtiar

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

The large deviations analysis of solutions to stochastic differential equations and related processes is often based on approximation. The construction and justification of the approximations can be onerous, especially in the case where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Vasileios Maroulas

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

We introduce a novel method for estimating the self-similarity index of a general $H$-self-similar process with either stationary or non-stationary increments. The estimation algorithm is developed based on a modified Lamperti…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 William Wu , Qidi Peng

The problem of optimal linear estimation of linear functionals depending on the unknown values of a periodically correlated stochastic process from observations of the process with additive noise is considered. Formulas for calculating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk