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This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

In this paper we study general nonlinear stochastic differential equations, where the usual Brownian motion is replaced by a L\'evy process. We also suppose that the coefficient multiplying the increments of this process is merely Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

The paper presents a multiplicative bias reduction estimator for nonparametric regression. The approach consists to apply a multiplicative bias correction to an oversmooth pilot estimator. In Burr et al. [2010], this method has been tested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-02 Nicolas Hengartner , Eric Matzner-Løber , Laurent Rouvière , Thomas Burr

We introduce a general method, based on a mapping onto quantum mechanics, for investigating the large-T limit of the distribution P(r,T) of the nonlinear functional r[V] = (1/T)\int_0^T dT' V[X(T')], where V(X) is an arbitrary function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

Typical Bayesian inference requires parameter identification via likelihood parameterization, which has invited criticism for being less flexible than the Frequentist framework and subject to misspecification. Though misspecification may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Vivian Y. Meng , David A. Stephens

In this paper, we develop a new general approach to the existence and uniqueness theory of infinite dimensional stochastic equations of the form dX+A(t)Xdt = XdW in (0;T)xH, where A(t) is a nonlinear monotone and demicontinuous operator…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Viorel Barbu , Michael Röckner

We consider the problem of estimation of a linear functional in the Gaussian sequence model where the unknown vector theta in R^d belongs to a class of s-sparse vectors with unknown s. We suggest an adaptive estimator achieving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Olivier Collier , Laëtitia Comminges , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Nicolas Verzélen

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Let $N(t)$ be the collection of particles alive at time $t$ in a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$, and for $u\in N(t)$, let $\mathbf{X}_u(t)$ be the position of particle $u$ at time $t$. For $\theta\in \mathbb{R}^d$, we define…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Haojie Hou , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

In this work, we introduce a new method to prove the existence and uniqueness of a variational solution to the stochastic nonlinear diffusion equation $dX(t)={\rm div} [\frac{\nabla X(t)}{|\nabla X(t)|}]dt+X(t)dW(t) in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-27 Michael Röckner , Viorel Barbu

Consider the following stochastic differential equation for $(X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ on $\mathbb R^d$ and its Euler-Maruyama (EM) approximation $(Y_{t_n})_{n\in \mathbb Z^+}$: \begin{align*} &d X_t=b( X_t) d t+\sigma(X_t) d B_t, \\ &…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Xiang Li , Feng-Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

Geometric Brownian motion is an exemplary stochastic processes obeying multiplicative noise, with widespread applications in several fields, e.g. in finance, in physics and biology. The definition of the process depends crucially on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-16 Stefano Giordano , Fabrizio Cleri , Ralf Blossey

One introduces a new variational concept of solution for the stochastic differential equation $dX+A(t)X\,dt+\lambda X\,dt=X\,dW,$ $t\in(0,T)$; $X(0)=x$ in a real Hilbert space where $A(t)=\partial\varphi(t)$, $t\in(0,T)$, is a maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Viorel Barbu , Michael Röckner

We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on past observations of this process. To solve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk