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Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

AI-driven decision-making systems are becoming instrumental in the public sector, with applications spanning areas like criminal justice, social welfare, financial fraud detection, and public health. While these systems offer great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Unai Fischer-Abaigar , Christoph Kern , Noam Barda , Frauke Kreuter

Despite huge successes reported by the field of machine learning, such as voice assistants or self-driving cars, businesses still observe very high failure rate when it comes to deployment of ML in production. We argue that part of the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Andrei Paleyes , Christian Cabrera , Neil D. Lawrence

Early detection of Parkinson's disease (PD) is important which can enable early initiation of therapeutic interventions and management strategies. However, methods for early detection still remain an unmet clinical need in PD. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-04 R Prashanth , Sumantra Dutta Roy

Data association, the problem of reasoning over correspondence between targets and measurements, is a fundamental problem in tracking. This paper presents a graphical model formulation of data association and applies an approximate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Jason L. Williams , Roslyn A. Lau

The provision of social care applications is crucial for elderly people to improve their quality of life and enables operators to provide early interventions. Accurate predictions of user dropouts in healthy ageing applications are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Christos Chrysanthos Nikolaidis , Vasileios Perifanis , Nikolaos Pavlidis , Pavlos S. Efraimidis

Simulation models, in particular agent-based models, are gaining popularity in economics. The considerable flexibility they offer, as well as their capacity to reproduce a variety of empirically observed behaviours of complex systems, give…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-20 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon

Decisions by Machine Learning (ML) models have become ubiquitous. Trusting these decisions requires understanding how algorithms take them. Hence interpretability methods for ML are an active focus of research. A central problem in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Philipp Schmidt , Felix Biessmann

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

Currently, machine learning (ML) methods are widely used to process the results of physical experiments. In some cases, due to the limited amount of experimental data, ML-models can be pre-trained on synthetic data simulated based on the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-09-22 Y. R. Rodimkov , V. D. Volokitin , I. B. Meyerov , E. S. Efimenko

In recent years, the question of the reliability of Machine Learning (ML) methods has acquired significant importance, and the analysis of the associated uncertainties has motivated a growing amount of research. However, most of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Luigi Scorzato

A recent flurry of research activity has attempted to quantitatively define "fairness" for decisions based on statistical and machine learning (ML) predictions. The rapid growth of this new field has led to wildly inconsistent terminology…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-23 Shira Mitchell , Eric Potash , Solon Barocas , Alexander D'Amour , Kristian Lum

Many machine learning (ML) models are integrated within the context of a larger system as part of a key component for decision making processes. Concretely, predictive models are often employed in estimating the parameters for the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Bing Zhang , Yuya Jeremy Ong , Taiga Nakamura

Imputing data is a critical issue for machine learning practitioners, including in the life sciences domain, where missing clinical data is a typical situation and the reliability of the imputation is of great importance. Currently, there…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-13 Skander Kazdaghli , Iordanis Kerenidis , Jens Kieckbusch , Philip Teare

Machine learning (ML) models can make decisions based on large amounts of data, but they can be missing personal knowledge available to human users about whom predictions are made. For example, a model trained to predict psychiatric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Isaac Lage , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, the need for interpretability has grown to meet strict regulatory and accountability constraints. Despite this interest, systematic evaluations of inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mattia Billa , Giovanni Orlandi , Veronica Guidetti , Federica Mandreoli

Epidemiologists increasingly use causal inference methods that rely on machine learning, as these approaches can relax unnecessary model specification assumptions. While deriving and studying asymptotic properties of such estimators is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Audrey Renson , Lina Montoya , Dana E. Goin , Iván Díaz , Rachael K. Ross

Inference capabilities of machine learning (ML) systems skyrocketed in recent years, now playing a pivotal role in various aspect of society. The goal in statistical learning is to use data to obtain simple algorithms for predicting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-04 Ziv Goldfeld , Yury Polyanskiy

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

Probabilistic inference is a fundamental task in modern machine learning. Recent advances in tensor network (TN) contraction algorithms have enabled the development of better exact inference methods. However, many common inference tasks in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Martin Roa-Villescas , Xuanzhao Gao , Sander Stuijk , Henk Corporaal , Jin-Guo Liu
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