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The goal of system identification is to learn about underlying physics dynamics behind the time-series data. To model the probabilistic and nonparametric dynamics model, Gaussian process (GP) have been widely used; GP can estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Young-Jin Park , Han-Lim Choi

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

Investigating the dynamics of learning in machine learning algorithms is of paramount importance for understanding how and why an approach may be successful. The tools of physics and statistics provide a robust setting for such…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-12-31 Chanju Park , Matteo Favoni , Biagio Lucini , Gert Aarts

Mixture models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used in machine learning to represent complex data distributions. A key challenge, especially in high-dimensional settings, is to determine the mixture order and estimate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Srećko Đurašinović , Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Victor Magron

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

With the increasing complexity of multiple target tracking scenes, a single sensor may not be able to effectively monitor a large number of targets. Therefore, it is imperative to extend the single-sensor technique to Multi-Sensor…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Han Cai , Chenbao Xue , Jeremie Houssineau , Zhirun Xue

This paper presents the Poisson-randomized gamma dynamical system (PRGDS), a model for sequentially observed count tensors that encodes a strong inductive bias toward sparsity and burstiness. The PRGDS is based on a new motif in Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Aaron Schein , Scott W. Linderman , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

This paper presents a novel approach to detect abnormalities in dynamic systems based on multisensory data and feature selection. The proposed method produces multiple inference models by considering several features of the observed data.…

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Wenhan Li , Xiongjie Chen , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

We develop a new class of dynamic multivariate Poisson count models that allow for fast online updating and we refer to these models as multivariate Poisson-scaled beta (MPSB). The MPSB model allows for serial dependence in the counts as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-16 Tevfik Aktekin , Nicholas G. Polson , Refik Soyer

A representation of Gaussian distributed sparsely sampled longitudinal data in terms of predictive distributions for their functional principal component scores (FPCs) maps available data for each subject to a multivariate Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Álvaro Gajardo , Xiongtao Dai , Hans-Georg Müller

This work considers estimation and forecasting in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional count time series model constructed from a transformation of a latent Gaussian dynamic factor series. The estimation of the latent model parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Younghoon Kim , Marie-Christine Düker , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for generative modeling, demonstrating exceptional capability in capturing target data distributions from large datasets. However, fine-tuning these massive models for specific downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Yinbin Han , Meisam Razaviyayn , Renyuan Xu

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

Learning-based techniques are increasingly effective at controlling complex systems using data-driven models. However, most work done so far has focused on learning individual tasks or control laws. Hence, it is still a largely unaddressed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-08 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

This work develops novel strategies for optimal planning with semantic observations using continuous state partially observable markov decision processes (CPOMDPs). Two major innovations are presented in relation to Gaussian mixture (GM)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Luke Burks , Ian Loefgren , Nisar Ahmed

In the past few decades, the development of fluorescent technologies and microscopic techniques has greatly improved scientists' ability to observe real-time single-cell activities. In this paper, we consider the filtering problem associate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams