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A $U$-statistic of a Poisson point process is defined as the sum $\sum f(x_1,\ldots,x_k)$ over all (possibly infinitely many) $k$-tuples of distinct points of the point process. Using the Malliavin calculus, the Wiener-It\^{o} chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Matthias Reitzner , Matthias Schulte

We consider a non-stationary Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We establish a sharp large deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of its drift parameter.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 marie du Roy de Chaumaray

Multivariate Poisson processes have many important applications in Insurance, Finance, and many other areas of Applied Probability. In this paper we study the backward simulation approach to modelling multivariate Poisson processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-30 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

High-dimensional self-exciting point processes have been widely used in many application areas to model discrete event data in which past and current events affect the likelihood of future events. In this paper, we are concerned with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Rebecca Willett

We consider Poisson's equation for quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) and we exploit the special transition structure of QBDs to obtain its solutions in two different forms. One is based on a decomposition through first passage times to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche , Yuanyuan Liu

We provide a unifying treatment of pathwise moderate deviations for models commonly used in financial applications, and for related integrated functionals. Suitable scaling allows us to transfer these results into small-time, large-time and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-04 Antoine Jacquier , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We provide the large deviation principle for higher dimensional piecewise expanding maps and by using the functional approach of Hennion and Herv\'e, slightly modified.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-10-26 R. Aimino , S. Vaienti

In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We study the asymptotic behavior of stochastic hyperbolic parabolic equations with slow and fast time scales. Both the strong and weak convergence in the averaging principe are established, which can be viewed as a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measure process associated with a general class of finite-state mean field interacting particle systems with Lipschitz continuous transition rates that satisfy a certain ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Paul Dupuis , Kavita Ramanan , Wei Wu

In this contribution, we summarize and discuss recent theoretical progress on the Standard-Model calculation of joint polarized cross sections of massive multi-boson processes with fully leptonic decays. The topics include fixed-order…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-25 Thi Nhung Dao , Duc Ninh Le

It is well known that, under broad assumptions, the time-scaled point process of exceedances of a high level by a stationary sequence converges to a compound Poisson process as the level grows. The purpose of this note is to demonstrate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Konstantin Borovkov , Serguei Novak

We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Andrea Agazzi , Luisa Andreis , Robert I. A. Patterson , D. R. Michiel Renger

In this paper, we present a large-deviation theory developed for functionals of canonical Gibbs processes, i.e., Gibbs processes with respect to the binomial point process. We study the regime of a fixed intensity in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Christian Hirsch , Martina Petráková

We consider block codes whose rate converges to the channel capacity with increasing block length at a certain speed and examine the best possible decay of the probability of error. We prove that a moderate deviation principle holds for all…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Yucel Altug , Aaron B. Wagner

We establish three variational principles for the upper metric mean dimension with potential of level sets of continuous maps in terms of the entropy of partitions and Katok's entropy of the underlying system. Our results hold for dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Lucas Backes , Chunlin Liu , Fagner B. Rodrigues

Deep learning has recently revealed the existence of scaling laws, demonstrating that model performance follows predictable trends based on dataset and model sizes. Inspired by these findings and fascinating phenomena emerging in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Mattia Rosso , Simone Rossi , Giulio Franzese , Markus Heinonen , Maurizio Filippone

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-15 Getachew K. Befekadu

We study large and moderate deviations for a life insurance portfolio, without assuming identically distributed losses. The crucial assumption is that losses are bounded, and that variances are bounded below. From a standard large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Stefan Gerhold