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Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

We introduce Markov Random Geometric Graphs (MRGGs), a growth model for temporal dynamic networks. It is based on a Markovian latent space dynamic: consecutive latent points are sampled on the Euclidean Sphere using an unknown Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

We propose a general classification of nonequilibrium steady states in terms of their stationary probability distribution and the associated probability currents. The stationary probabilities can be represented graph-theoretically as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 R. K. P. Zia , B. Schmittmann

In this article, we consider McKean stochastic differential equations, as well as their corresponding McKean-Vlasov partial differential equations, which admit a unique stationary state, and we study the linearized It\^o diffusion process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

This paper investigates the position (state) distribution of the single step binomial (multi-nomial) process on a discrete state / time grid under the assumption that the velocity process rather than the state process is Markovian. In this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Johan GB Beumee , Chris Cormack , Peyman Khorsand , Manish Patel

One of the proposed solutions to the equilibrium selection problem for agents learning in repeated games is obtained via the notion of stochastic stability. Learning algorithms are perturbed so that the Markov chain underlying the learning…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-09 John Wicks , Amy Greenwald

Hierarchies are of fundamental interest in both stochastic optimal control and biological control due to their facilitation of a range of desirable computational traits in a control algorithm and the possibility that they may form a core…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-09 Daniel McNamee

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper, we consider the stability analysis of large-scale distributed networked control systems with random communication delays between linearly interconnected subsystems. The stability analysis is performed in the Markov jump…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Raktim Bhattacharya

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

The non-equilibrium statistical mechanics and kinetic theory for a model of a confined quasi-two-dimensional gas of inelastic hard spheres is presented. The dynamics of the particles includes an effective mechanism to transfer the energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 J. Javier Brey , M. I. García de Soria , P. Maynar , V. Buzón

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We study ergodic properties of a family of traffic maps acting in the space of bi-infinite sequences of real numbers. The corresponding dynamics mimics the motion of vehicles in a simple traffic flow, which explains the name. Using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Michael Blank

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, the problem of non-fragile finite-time stabilization for linear discrete mean-field stochastic systems is studied. The uncertain characteristics in control parameters are assumed to be random satisfying the Bernoulli…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Tianliang Zhang , Feiqi Deng , Peng Shi

The goal of this work is to identify steady-state solutions to dynamical systems defined on large, random families of networks. We do so by passing to a continuum limit where the adjacency matrix is replaced by a non-local operator with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Jason J. Bramburger , Matt Holzer , Jackson Williams
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