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This paper deals with ergodic theorems for particular time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, whose the time-inhomogeneity is asymptotically periodic. Under a Lyapunov/minorization condition, it is shown that, for any measurable bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 William Oçafrain

We introduce and apply a novel efficient method for the precise simulation of stochastic dynamical processes on locally tree-like graphs. Networks with cycles are treated in the framework of the cavity method. Such models correspond, for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-09 Thomas Barthel , Caterina De Bacco , Silvio Franz

We describe a systematic approach to construct coarse-grained Markov state models from molecular dynamics data of systems driven into a non-equilibrium steady state. We apply this method to study the globule-stretch transition of a single…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-02-28 Fabian Knoch , Thomas Speck

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

Large continuous-time Markov chains with exponentially small transition rates arise in modeling complex systems in physics, chemistry and biology. We propose a constructive graph-algorithmic approach to determine the sequence of critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Tingyue Gan , Maria Cameron

We study Markov population processes on large graphs, with the local state transition rates of a single vertex being linear function of its neighborhood. A simple way to approximate such processes is by a system of ODEs called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Dániel Keliger

We give a new proof of local convergence of a multigrid method called iterative aggregation/disaggregation (IAD) for computing steady-states of Markov chains. Our proof leads naturally to a precise and interpretable estimate of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-23 Gabriel Earle , Brian Van Koten

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

Despite substantial progress in non-equilibrium physics, steady-state (s.s.) probabilities remain intractable to analysis. For a Markov process, s.s. probabilities can be expressed in terms of transition rates using the Matrix-Tree theorem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ugur Cetiner , Jeremy Gunawardena

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We study various classes of random processes defined on the regular tree $T_d$ that are invariant under the automorphism group of $T_d$. Most important ones are factor of i.i.d. processes (randomized local algorithms), branching Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Ágnes Backhausz , Balázs Szegedy

We report on a fundamental role of a non-normalized formal steady state, i.e., an infinite invariant density, in a semi-Markov process where the state is determined by the inter-event time of successive renewals. The state describes certain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-14 Takuma Akimoto , Eli Barkai , Günter Radons

A mapping of the process on a continuous configuration space to the symbolic representation of the motion on a discrete state space will be combined with an iterative aggregation and disaggregation (IAD) procedure to obtain steady state…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-12-06 Katja Biswas

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Ovidiu Radulescu , Dima Grigoriev , Matthias Seiss , Maria Douaihy , Mounia Lagha , Edouard Bertrand

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

Many economic models feature monotone Markov dynamics on state spaces that may be noncompact. Establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability of stationary distributions in such settings has required a patchwork of sufficient conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

Non-equilibrium steady states (NESS) of Markov processes give rise to non-trivial cyclic probability fluxes. Cycle decompositions of the steady state offer an effective description of such fluxes. Here, we present an iterative cycle…