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In this work, the problem of predicting dropout risk in undergraduate studies is addressed from a perspective of algorithmic fairness. We develop a machine learning method to predict the risks of university dropout and underperformance. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Marzieh Karimi-Haghighi , Carlos Castillo , Davinia Hernandez-Leo , Veronica Moreno Oliver

Performance measurement is an essential task once a statistical model is created. The Area Under the receiving operating characteristics Curve (AUC) is the most popular measure for evaluating the quality of a binary classifier. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-24 Robin Van Oirbeek , Jolien Ponnet , Tim Verdonck

This paper considers the problem of fair probabilistic binary classification with binary protected groups. The classifier assigns scores, and a practitioner predicts labels using a certain cut-off threshold based on the desired trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Avyukta Manjunatha Vummintala , Shantanu Das , Sujit Gujar

In this paper, an alpha-beta-skew-logistic distribution is proposed following the same methodology as those of alpha-beta-skew-normal of Shafiei et al. (2016) and investigated some of its related distributional properties. Finally, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Sricharan Shah , Partha Jyoti Hazarika

Statistical measures for group fairness in machine learning reflect the gap in performance of algorithms across different groups. These measures, however, exhibit a high variance between different training instances, which makes them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Prakhar Ganesh , Hongyan Chang , Martin Strobel , Reza Shokri

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly employed in real-world applications like medicine or economics, thus, potentially affecting large populations. However, ML models often do not perform homogeneously, leading to underperformance or,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Tom Siegl , Kutalmış Coşkun , Bjarne C. Hiller , Amin Mirzaei , Florian Lemmerich , Martin Becker

When a model informs decisions about people, distribution shifts can create undue disparities. However, it is hard for external entities to check for distribution shift, as the model and its training set are often proprietary. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Marc Juarez , Samuel Yeom , Matt Fredrikson

Area under the ROC curve (AUC) optimisation techniques developed for neural networks have recently demonstrated their capabilities in different audio and speech related tasks. However, due to its intrinsic nature, AUC optimisation has…

Sound · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Pablo Gimeno , Victoria Mingote , Alfonso Ortega , Antonio Miguel , Eduardo Lleida

Several efforts have been done to bring ROC analysis beyond (binary) classification, especially in regression. However, the mapping and possibilities of these proposals do not correspond to what we expect from the analysis of operating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Jose Hernandez-Orallo

While the area under the ROC curve is perhaps the most common measure that is used to rank the relative performance of different binary classifiers, longstanding field folklore has noted that it can be a measure that ill-captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Christopher Ratigan , Lenore Cowen

Most binary classifiers work by processing the input to produce a scalar response and comparing it to a threshold value. The various measures of classifier performance assume, explicitly or implicitly, probability distributions $P_s$ and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Luma Omar , Ioannis Ivrissimtzis

We propose a novel classifier accuracy metric: the Bayesian Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (CBAUC). The method estimates the area under the ROC curve and is related to the recently proposed Bayesian Error Estimator.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Syeda Sakira Hassan , Heikki Huttunen , Jari Niemi , Jussi Tohka

Throughout science and technology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and associated area under the curve (AUC) measures constitute powerful tools for assessing the predictive abilities of features, markers and tests in binary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Tilmann Gneiting , Eva-Maria Walz

Credit scoring has been catalogued by the European Commission and the Executive Office of the US President as a high-risk classification task, a key concern being the potential harms of making loan approval decisions based on models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pablo Casas , Christophe Mues , Huan Yu

Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Wissam Siblini , Jordan Fréry , Liyun He-Guelton , Frédéric Oblé , Yi-Qing Wang

Predictive student models are increasingly used in learning environments due to their ability to enhance educational outcomes and support stakeholders in making informed decisions. However, predictive models can be biased and produce unfair…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Mélina Verger , Sébastien Lallé , François Bouchet , Vanda Luengo

Variance in predictions across different trained models is a significant, under-explored source of error in fair binary classification. In practice, the variance on some data examples is so large that decisions can be effectively arbitrary.…

ROC analyses are considered under a variety of assumptions concerning the distributions of a measurement $X$ in two populations. These include the binormal model as well as nonparametric models where little is assumed about the form of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-02 Luai Al Labadi , Michael Evans , Qiaoyu Liang

The classification of imbalanced data has presented a significant challenge for most well-known classification algorithms that were often designed for data with relatively balanced class distributions. Nevertheless skewed class distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Jiaju Miao , Wei Zhu

Face recognition algorithms, when used in the real world, can be very useful, but they can also be dangerous when biased toward certain demographics. So, it is essential to understand how these algorithms are trained and what factors affect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Manideep Kolla , Aravinth Savadamuthu