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Viral spread on large graphs has many real-life applications such as malware propagation in computer networks and rumor (or misinformation) spread in Twitter-like online social networks. Although viral spread on large graphs has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Milan Bradonjić , Michael Molloy , Guanhua Yan

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

Motivated by scenarios of epidemic competition, as well as how social contagions spread at the level of individuals, this work considers the competition between two conflicting node states that spread over a social graph according to a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Argyris Kalogeratos , Gaspard Abel , Stefano Sarao Mannelli

We study a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a network of $n$ interacting subpopulations. We analyze the transient and asymptotic behavior of the infection dynamics in each node of the network. In contrast to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

The effect of public health interventions on an epidemic are often estimated by adding the intervention to epidemic models. During the Covid-19 epidemic, numerous papers used such methods for making scenario predictions. The majority of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

The celebrated Kermack-McKendric model of epidemics studies the transmission of a disease in a population where each individual is initially susceptible (S), may become infective (I) and then removed or recovered (R) and plays no further…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Michael Shapiro , Edgar Delgado-Eckert

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

Theoretical modeling of computer virus/worm epidemic dynamics is an important problem that has attracted many studies. However, most existing models are adapted from biological epidemic ones. Although biological epidemic models can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu , Zhenxin Zhan

We consider stochastic influence maximization problems arising in social networks. In contrast to existing studies that involve greedy approximation algorithms with a 63% performance guarantee, our work focuses on solving the problem…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Hao-Hsiang Wu , Simge Kucukyavuz

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa

Infectious diseases and human behavior are intertwined. On one side, our movements and interactions are the engines of transmission. On the other, the unfolding of viruses might induce changes to our daily activities. While intuitive, our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-02 Nicola Perra

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

As a widely observable social effect, influence diffusion refers to a process where innovations, trends, awareness, etc. spread across the network via the social impact among individuals. Motivated by such social effect, the concept of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Liang Ma

Analysis of policies for managing epidemics require simultaneously an economic and epidemiological perspective. We adopt a cost-of-policy framework to model both the virus spread and the cost of handling the pandemic. Because it is harder…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-10 Jacob Janssen , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In this paper, we develop a multi-group epidemic framework via virtual dispersal where the risk of infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel approach eliminates the need to define and measure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-01 Derdei Bichara , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Richard Horan , Charles Perrings

Spatial spread of infectious diseases among populations via the mobility of humans is highly stochastic and heterogeneous. Accurate forecast/mining of the spread process is often hard to be achieved by using statistical or mechanical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Jian-Bo Wang , Lin Wang , Xiang Li

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo