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Related papers: Streamlining Prediction in Bayesian Deep Learning

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The posterior over Bayesian neural network (BNN) parameters is extremely high-dimensional and non-convex. For computational reasons, researchers approximate this posterior using inexpensive mini-batch methods such as mean-field variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Pavel Izmailov , Sharad Vikram , Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We introduce BLAST, Bayesian Linear regression with Adaptive Shrinkage for Transfer, a Bayesian multi-source transfer learning framework for high-dimensional linear regression. The proposed analytical framework leverages global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Parsa Jamshidian , Donatello Telesca

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Deep Learning (DL) methods have emerged as one of the most powerful tools for functional approximation and prediction. While the representation properties of DL have been well studied, uncertainty quantification remains challenging and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

This paper extends the work in [Suzuki, 1996] and presents an efficient depth-first branch-and-bound algorithm for learning Bayesian network structures, based on the minimum description length (MDL) principle, for a given (consistent)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jin Tian

Convolutional dictionary learning (CDL), the problem of estimating shift-invariant templates from data, is typically conducted in the absence of a prior/structure on the templates. In data-scarce or low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Andrew H. Song , Bahareh Tolooshams , Demba Ba

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of…

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We recently proposed a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions by minimization of their Kullback-Leibler divergence with respect to a more convenient approximating distribution. In this note we offer…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-10 Tim Salimans

Autoregressive large language models (LLMs) compress knowledge from their training data through next-token conditional distributions. This limits tractable querying of this knowledge to start-to-end autoregressive sampling. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Edward J. Hu , Moksh Jain , Eric Elmoznino , Younesse Kaddar , Guillaume Lajoie , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are probabilistic models characterized by exact and fast evaluation of fundamental probabilistic operations. Its superior computational tractability has led to applications in many fields, such as machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Soma Yokoi , Issei Sato

As machine learning becomes more prominent there is a growing demand to perform several inference tasks in parallel. Running a dedicated model for each task is computationally expensive and therefore there is a great interest in multi-task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Idan Achituve , Idit Diamant , Arnon Netzer , Gal Chechik , Ethan Fetaya

With increasing scale in model and dataset size, the training of deep neural networks becomes a massive computational burden. One approach to speed up the training process is Selective Backprop. For this approach, we perform a forward pass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Lukas Balles , Cedric Archambeau , Giovanni Zappella

Self-driving laboratories (SDLs) are combining recent technological advances in robotics, automation, and machine learning based data analysis and decision-making to perform autonomous experimentation toward human-directed goals without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Luca Torresi , Pascal Friederich

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Variational inference methods have been shown to lead to significant improvements in the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian inference in mixed multinomial logit models when compared to standard Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Filipe Rodrigues

Clinical prediction models provide a prediction (e.g., estimated risk) for each individual, typically expressed as a point estimate derived from a deterministic function such as a logistic regression equation. Such 'plug-in' predictions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Richard D. Riley

We propose a model-based lifelong reinforcement-learning approach that estimates a hierarchical Bayesian posterior distilling the common structure shared across different tasks. The learned posterior combined with a sample-based Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Haotian Fu , Shangqun Yu , Michael Littman , George Konidaris