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We consider the classical multi-asset Merton investment problem under drift uncertainty, i.e. the asset price dynamics are given by geometric Brownian motions with constant but unknown drift coefficients. The investor assumes a prior drift…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-22 Nicole Bäuerle , Antje Mahayni

We introduce a novel optimal transport framework for probabilistic circuits (PCs). While it has been shown recently that divergences between distributions represented as certain classes of PCs can be computed tractably, to the best of our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Adrian Ciotinga , YooJung Choi

This paper considers the optimal dividend payment problem in piecewise-deterministic compound Poisson risk models. The objective is to maximize the expected discounted dividend payout up to the time of ruin. We provide a comparative study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Runhuan Feng , Hans Volkmer , Shuaiqi Zhang , Chao Zhu

In nonparametric statistics, rate-optimal estimators typically balance bias and stochastic error. The recent work on overparametrization raises the question whether rate-optimal estimators exist that do not obey this trade-off. In this work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Comparing structured data from possibly different metric-measure spaces is a fundamental task in machine learning, with applications in, e.g., graph classification. The Gromov-Wasserstein (GW) discrepancy formulates a coupling between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Hongwei Jin , Zishun Yu , Xinhua Zhang

We introduce and study a novel model-selection strategy for Bayesian learning, based on optimal transport, along with its associated predictive posterior law: the Wasserstein population barycenter of the posterior law over models. We first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Joaquin Fontbona , Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

We establish upper and lower bounds for the expected Wasserstein distance between the random empirical measure and the uniform measure on the Boolean cube. Our analysis leverages techniques from Fourier analysis, following the framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Shi Feng

In recent years, there has been a huge trend to penetrate renewable energy sources into energy networks. However, these sources introduce uncertain power generation depending on environmental conditions. Therefore, finding 'optimal' and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Erfan Mohagheghi , Abebe Geletu , Nils Bremser , Mansour Alramlawi , Aouss Gabash , Pu Li

In this paper we study the BV regularity for solutions of variational problems in Optimal Transportation. As an application we recover BV estimates for solutions of some non-linear parabolic PDE by means of optimal transportation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Guido De Philippis , Alpár Mészáros , Filippo Santambrogio , Bozhidar Velichkov

We study stability properties of the expected utility function in Bayesian optimal experimental design. We provide a framework for this problem in a non-parametric setting and prove a convergence rate of the expected utility with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Duc-Lam Duong , Tapio Helin , Jose Rodrigo Rojo-Garcia

We propose a mean-field optimal control problem for the parameter identification of a given pattern. The cost functional is based on the Wasserstein distance between the probability measures of the modeled and the desired patterns. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Martin Burger , Lisa Maria Kreusser , Claudia Totzeck

In this paper, we propose a minimax linear-quadratic control method to address the issue of inaccurate distribution information in practical stochastic systems. To construct a control policy that is robust against errors in an empirical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Kihyun Kim , Insoon Yang

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper studies an optimal dividend problem with a drawdown constraint in a Brownian motion model, requiring the dividend payout rate to remain above a fixed proportion of its historical maximum. This leads to a path-dependent stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Chonghu Guan , Jiacheng Fan , Zuo Quan Xu

A wide array of machine learning problems are formulated as the minimization of the expectation of a convex loss function on some parameter space. Since the probability distribution of the data of interest is usually unknown, it is is often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Emilie Chouzenoux , Henri Gérard , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

Optimal Transport has received much attention in Machine Learning as it allows to compare probability distributions by exploiting the geometry of the underlying space. However, in its original formulation, solving this problem suffers from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Clément Bonet

Portfolio construction is the science of balancing reward and risk; it is at the core of modern finance. In this paper, we tackle the question of optimal decision-making within a Bayesian paradigm, starting from a decision-theoretic…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-12 Nicolas Nguyen , James Ridgway , Claire Vernade

Suppose we are given two metric spaces and a family of continuous transformations from one to the other. Given a probability distribution on each of these two spaces - namely the source and the target measures - the Wasserstein alignment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Soumik Pal , Bodhisattva Sen , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

We revisit the classical problem of deriving convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in finite mixture models. The Wasserstein distance has become a standard loss function for the analysis of parameter estimation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov
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