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As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

The increasing adoption of machine learning tools has led to calls for accountability via model interpretability. But what does it mean for a machine learning model to be interpretable by humans, and how can this be assessed? We focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Dylan Slack , Sorelle A. Friedler , Carlos Scheidegger , Chitradeep Dutta Roy

Deploying machine learning models in safety-related do-mains (e.g. autonomous driving, medical diagnosis) demands for approaches that are explainable, robust against adversarial attacks and aware of the model uncertainty. Recent deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Jan Kronenberger , Anselm Haselhoff

Large pretrained foundation models demonstrate exceptional performance and, in some high-stakes applications, even surpass human experts. However, most of these models are currently evaluated primarily on prediction accuracy, overlooking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Tang Li , Mengmeng Ma , Xi Peng

We present a long short-term memory (LSTM) network for predicting whether an active region (AR) would produce a gamma-class flare within the next 24 hours. We consider three gamma classes, namely >=M5.0 class, >=M class, and >=C class, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-06 Hao Liu , Chang Liu , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Although deep reinforcement learning has become a promising machine learning approach for sequential decision-making problems, it is still not mature enough for high-stake domains such as autonomous driving or medical applications. In such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Claire Glanois , Paul Weng , Matthieu Zimmer , Dong Li , Tianpei Yang , Jianye Hao , Wulong Liu

The volume of data being collected in solar physics has exponentially increased over the past decade and with the introduction of the $\textit{Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope}$ (DKIST) we will be entering the age of petabyte solar data.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-10 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

We study the photospheric magnetic field of ~2000 active regions in solar cycle 23 to search for parameters indicative of energy build-up and subsequent release as a solar flare. We extract three sets of parameters: snapshots in space and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-01 Amani Al-Ghraibah , Laura. E. Boucheron , R. T. James McAteer

Deep Learning (DL) models processing images to recognize the health state of large infrastructure components can exhibit biases and rely on non-causal shortcuts. eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) can address these issues but…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Giovanni Floreale , Piero Baraldi , Enrico Zio , Olga Fink

Deep learning models have gained increasing prominence in recent years in the field of solar pho-tovoltaic (PV) forecasting. One drawback of these models is that they require a lot of high-quality data to perform well. This is often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-13 Joris Depoortere , Johan Driesen , Johan Suykens , Hussain Syed Kazmi

The analysis of waves in the visible side of the Sun allows the detection of active regions in the farside through local helioseismology techniques. The knowledge of the magnetism in the whole Sun, including the non-visible hemisphere, is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-04 T. Felipe , A. Asensio Ramos

Machine-learning models have demonstrated great success in learning complex patterns that enable them to make predictions about unobserved data. In addition to using models for prediction, the ability to interpret what a model has learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 W. James Murdoch , Chandan Singh , Karl Kumbier , Reza Abbasi-Asl , Bin Yu

Oceanographic forecasting impacts various sectors of society by supporting environmental conservation and economic activities. Based on global circulation models, traditional forecasting methods are computationally expensive and slow,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez , Ángel Rodríguez-Santana

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

The continuous observation of the magnetic field by Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces numerous image sequences in time and space. These sequences provide data support for predicting the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-23 Liang Bai , Yi Bi , Bo Yang , Jun-Chao Hong , Zhe Xu , Zhen-Hong Shang , Hui Liu , Hai-Sheng Ji , Kai-Fan Ji

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…

Prediction of solar flares is an important task in solar physics. The occurrence of solar flares is highly dependent on the structure and the topology of solar magnetic fields. A new method for predicting large (M and X class) flares is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-28 Abbas Raboonik , Hossein Safari , Nasibe Alipour , Michael S. Wheatland

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

A hybrid two-stage machine learning architecture that addresses the problem of excessive false positives (false alarms) in solar flare prediction systems is investigated. The first stage is a convolutional neural network (CNN) model based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-09 Varad Deshmukh , Natasha Flyer , Kiera Van Der Sande , Thomas Berger