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Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Understanding causality is challenging and often complicated by changing causal relationships over time and across environments. Climate patterns, for example, shift over time with recurring seasonal trends, while also depending on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Sarah Mameche , Lénaïg Cornanguer , Urmi Ninad , Jilles Vreeken

Neural networks are widely used in machine learning and data mining. Typically, these networks need to be trained, implying the adjustment of weights (parameters) within the network based on the input data. In this work, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Xiaosheng Li , Wenjie Xi , Jessica Lin

This paper introduces a new causal structure learning method for nonstationary time series data, a common data type found in fields such as finance, economics, healthcare, and environmental science. Our work builds upon the constraint-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-10 Agathe Sadeghi , Achintya Gopal , Mohammad Fesanghary

Time series shapelets are discriminative sub-sequences and their similarity to time series can be used for time series classification. Initial shapelet extraction algorithms searched shapelets by complete enumeration of all possible data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-03 Dripta S. Raychaudhuri , Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

In many application domains, networks are observed with node-level features. In such settings, a common problem is to assess whether or not nodal covariates are correlated with the network structure itself. Here, we present four novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-05 Alexander Fuchs-Kreiss , Keith Levin

Current work on using visual analytics to determine causal relations among variables has mostly been based on the concept of counterfactuals. As such the derived static causal networks do not take into account the effect of time as an…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Jun Wang , Klaus Mueller

In machine learning, exploring data correlations to predict outcomes is a fundamental task. Recognizing causal relationships embedded within data is pivotal for a comprehensive understanding of system dynamics, the significance of which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Haoran Xie , Lin Li , Jianming Yong , Qing Li

We study the problem of graph structure identification, i.e., of recovering the graph of dependencies among time series. We model these time series data as components of the state of linear stochastic networked dynamical systems. We assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Sérgio Machado , Anirudh Sridhar , Paulo Gil , Jorge Henriques , José M. F. Moura , Augusto Santos

The ability to understand causality from data is one of the major milestones of human-level intelligence. Causal Discovery (CD) algorithms can identify the cause-effect relationships among the variables of a system from related…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Uzma Hasan , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Given high-dimensional time series data (e.g., sensor data), how can we detect anomalous events, such as system faults and attacks? More challengingly, how can we do this in a way that captures complex inter-sensor relationships, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Ailin Deng , Bryan Hooi

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

In many domains, there is significant interest in capturing novel relationships between time series that represent activities recorded at different nodes of a highly complex system. In this paper, we introduce multipoles, a novel class of…

The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-19 Daniel J. Trosten , Andreas S. Strauman , Michael Kampffmeyer , Robert Jenssen

Our understanding of a variety of phenomena in physics, biology and economics crucially depends on the analysis of multivariate time series. While a wide range of tools and techniques for time series analysis already exist, the increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-27 Lucas Lacasa , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora

Disentangling complex causal relationships is important for accurate detection of anomalies. In multivariate time series analysis, dynamic interactions among data variables over time complicate the interpretation of causal relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Wonah Kim , Jeonghyeon Park , Dongsan Jun , Jungkyu Han , Sejin Chun

In this paper, we propose a DeepONet structure with causality to represent the causal linear operators between Banach spaces of time-dependent signals. The theorem of universal approximations to nonlinear operators proposed in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Lizuo Liu , Kamaljyoti Nath , Wei Cai

Recently, several complex network approaches to time series analysis have been developed and applied to study a wide range of model systems as well as real-world data, e.g., geophysical or financial time series. Among these techniques,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-03-23 Reik V. Donner , Jobst Heitzig , Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths