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In recent years there has been widespread concern in the scientific community over a reproducibility crisis. Among the major causes that have been identified is statistical: In many scientific research the statistical analysis (including…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-17 Norman Matloff , Reed Davis , Laurel Beckett , Paul Thompson

We introduce Dialz, a framework for advancing research on steering vectors for open-source LLMs, implemented in Python. Steering vectors allow users to modify activations at inference time to amplify or weaken a 'concept', e.g. honesty or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zara Siddique , Liam D. Turner , Luis Espinosa-Anke

Recent years have witnessed meteoric progress in reasoning models: neural networks that generate intermediate reasoning traces (RTs) before producing a final output. Despite the rapid advancement, our understanding of how RTs support…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 William L. Tong , Ege Cakar , Cengiz Pehlevan

Adaptive data analysis has posed a challenge to science due to its ability to generate false hypotheses on moderately large data sets. In general, with non-adaptive data analyses (where queries to the data are generated without being…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Preetum Nakkiran , Jarosław Błasiok

We introduce the Generalized Turing Test (GTT), a formal framework for comparing the capabilities of arbitrary agents via indistinguishability. For agents A and B, we define the Turing comparator A $\geq$ B to hold if B, acting as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Daniel Mitropolsky , Susan S. Hong , Riccardo Neumarker , Emanuele Rimoldi , Tomaso Poggio

This paper presents catsim, the first package written in the Python language specialized in computerized adaptive tests and the logistical models of Item Response Theory. catsim provides functions for generating item and examinee…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-23 Douglas De Rizzo Meneghetti , Plinio Thomaz Aquino Junior

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Trial findings are often used to inform policy and programming efforts, yet their results may not generalize well to a relevant target population due to…

Length generalization refers to the ability to extrapolate from short training sequences to long test sequences and is a challenge for current large language models. While prior work has proposed some architecture or data format changes to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Kaiying Hou , David Brandfonbrener , Sham Kakade , Samy Jelassi , Eran Malach

We present ExplainIt!, a declarative, unsupervised root-cause analysis engine that uses time series monitoring data from large complex systems such as data centres. ExplainIt! empowers operators to succinctly specify a large number of…

Test-time scaling (TTS) has proven effective in enhancing the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). Verification plays a key role in TTS, simultaneously influencing (1) reasoning performance and (2) compute efficiency, due…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Hao Mark Chen , Guanxi Lu , Yasuyuki Okoshi , Zhiwen Mo , Masato Motomura , Hongxiang Fan

Fine-tuning is becoming widely used for leveraging the power of pre-trained foundation models in new downstream tasks. While there are many successes of fine-tuning on various tasks, recent studies have observed challenges in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Yuji Roh , Qingyun Liu , Huan Gui , Zhe Yuan , Yujin Tang , Steven Euijong Whang , Liang Liu , Shuchao Bi , Lichan Hong , Ed H. Chi , Zhe Zhao

py-irt is a Python library for fitting Bayesian Item Response Theory (IRT) models. py-irt estimates latent traits of subjects and items, making it appropriate for use in IRT tasks as well as ideal-point models. py-irt is built on top of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-16 John P. Lalor , Pedro Rodriguez

Statistical modeling is a key element in many scientific fields and especially in High-Energy Physics (HEP) analysis. The standard framework to perform this task in HEP is the C++ ROOT/RooFit toolkit; with Python bindings that are only…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-21 Jonas Eschle , Albert Puig Navarro , Rafael Silva Coutinho , Nicola Serra

Ensuring that the outputs of neural networks satisfy specific constraints is crucial for applying neural networks to real-life decision-making problems. In this paper, we consider making a batch of neural network outputs satisfy bounded and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Hongtai Zeng , Chao Yang , Yanzhen Zhou , Cheng Yang , Qinglai Guo

One of the principal scientific challenges in deep learning is explaining generalization, i.e., why the particular way the community now trains networks to achieve small training error also leads to small error on held-out data from the…

The rapid proliferation of Generative AI (GenAI) into diverse, high-stakes domains necessitates robust and reproducible evaluation methods. However, practitioners often resort to ad-hoc, non-standardized scripts, as common metrics are often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Nitin Gupta , Pallav Koppisetti , Kausik Lakkaraju , Biplav Srivastava

As a compact representation of joint probability distributions over a dependence graph of random variables, and a tool for modelling and reasoning in the presence of uncertainty, Bayesian networks are of great importance for artificial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Michael de Oliveira , Luis Soares Barbosa

There has been a tremendous methodological development of Bayes factors for hypothesis testing in the social and behavioral sciences, and related fields. This development is due to the flexibility of the Bayes factor for testing multiple…

A new approach to adaptive design of clinical trials is proposed in a general multiparameter exponential family setting, based on generalized likelihood ratio statistics and optimal sequential testing theory. These designs are easy to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

In many applications, linear models fit the data poorly. This article studies an appealing alternative, the generalized regression model. This model only assumes that there exists an unknown monotonically increasing link function connecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Fang Han , Hongkai Ji , Zhicheng Ji , Honglang Wang
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