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As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

In the last decade, deep learning (DL) has outperformed model-based and statistical approaches in predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of machinery in the context of condition-based maintenance. One of the major drawbacks of DL is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Luca Della Libera

Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of synthetic fibre ropes (SFRs) is critical for safe operation in offshore-crane, wind turbine installation, and heavy-load handling applications, where rope failure can result in catastrophic safety…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Anju Rani , Daniel Ortiz-Arroyo , Petar Durdevic

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a critical task that aims to estimate the amount of time until a system fails, where the latter is formed by three main components, that is, the application, communication network, and RUL logic. In…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lorenzo Mario Amorosa , Nicolò Longhi , Giampaolo Cuozzo , Weronika Maria Bachan , Valerio Lieti , Enrico Buracchini , Roberto Verdone

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has become a crucial element of modern industrial practice. PdM plays a significant role in operational dependability and cost management by decreasing unforeseen downtime and optimizing asset life cycle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Ainaz Jamshidi , Dongchan Kim , Muhammad Arif

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

Deploying deep learning models in safety-critical applications remains a very challenging task, mandating the provision of assurances for the dependable operation of these models. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods estimate the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou , Radu Calinescu

In this paper, a Robust Multi-branch Deep learning-based system for remaining useful life (RUL) prediction and condition operations (CO) identification of rotating machines is proposed. In particular, the proposed system comprises main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Khoa Tran , Hai-Canh Vu , Lam Pham , Nassim Boudaoud

Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of industrial machinery is essential for reducing downtime and optimizing maintenance schedules. Existing approaches, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Varun Teja Chirukiri , Udaya Bhasker Cheerala , Sandeep Kanta , Abdul Karim , Praveen Damacharla

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

A core problem in statistics and probabilistic machine learning is to compute probability distributions and expectations. This is the fundamental problem of Bayesian statistics and machine learning, which frames all inference as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Accurate prediction of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) is essential for enabling timely maintenance of lithium-ion batteries, impacting the operational efficiency of electric applications that rely on them. This paper proposes a RUL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Khoa Tran , Tri Le , Bao Huynh , Hung-Cuong Trinh , Vy-Rin Nguyen , T. Nguyen-Thoi , Vin Nguyen-Thai

Prognostic Health Management aims to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of degrading components/systems utilizing monitoring data. These RUL predictions form the basis for optimizing maintenance planning in a Predictive Maintenance…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Konstantinos Tatsis , Eleni Chatzi , Kai Goebel , Daniel Straub

A hybrid prognostic model based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed to predict the laser remaining useful life (RUL). The experimental results show that it outperforms the conventional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-24 Khouloud Abdelli , Helmut Griesser , Stephan Pachnicke

The aviation industry is rapidly evolving, driven by advancements in technology. Turbofan engines used in commercial aerospace are very complex systems. The majority of turbofan engine components are susceptible to degradation over the life…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Abedin Sherifi

Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction coupled with uncertainty quantification remains a critical challenge in aerospace prognostics. This research introduces a novel uncertainty-aware deep learning framework that learns aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Krishang Sharma

RUL estimation suffers from a server data imbalance where data from machines near their end of life is rare. Additionally, the data produced by a machine can only be labeled after the machine failed. Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Tilman Krokotsch , Mirko Knaak , Clemens Gühmann

Health prediction is crucial for ensuring reliability, minimizing downtime, and optimizing maintenance in industrial systems. Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a key component of this process; however, many existing models struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Mohamadreza Akbari Pour , Mohamad Sadeq Karimi , Amir Hossein Mazloumi

We aim to quantitatively measure the practical usability of medical image segmentation models: to what extent, how often, and on which samples a model's predictions can be used/trusted. We first propose a measure, Correctness-Confidence…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-04 Yizhe Zhang , Suraj Mishra , Peixian Liang , Hao Zheng , Danny Z. Chen

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan