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Variable renewable energy droughts, so called Dunkelflaute events, emerge as a challenge for climate-neutral energy systems based on variable renewables. Here we characterize European drought events for on- and offshore wind power, solar…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-12 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill

The expansion of wind and solar power is driving the European energy system transformation, thereby also driving our reliance on this weather-dependent resources. Integrating renewable scarcity events into long-term planning has therefore…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Maximilian Bernecker , Smaranda Sgarciu , Xiaoming Kan , Mehrnaz Anvari , Iegor Riepin , Felix Müsgens

The high temporal variability of wind power generation represents a major challenge for the realization of a sustainable energy supply. Large backup and storage facilities are necessary to secure the supply in periods of low renewable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Juliane Weber , Jan Wohland , Mark Reyers , Julia Moemken , Charlotte Hoppe , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut

The European electricity power grid is transitioning towards renewable energy sources, characterized by an increasing share of off- and onshore wind and solar power. However, the weather dependency of these energy sources poses a challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Felix Strnad , Jonathan Schmidt , Fabian Mockert , Philipp Hennig , Nicole Ludwig

We use an open, hourly-resolved, networked model of the European energy system to investigate the storage requirements under decreasing CO$_2$ emissions targets and several sector-coupling scenarios. For the power system, significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-22 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

Hydrogen-based long-duration electricity storage (LDES) is a key component of renewable energy systems to deal with seasonality and prolonged periods of low wind and solar energy availability. In this paper, we investigate how electrified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt , Alexander Roth , Wolf-Peter Schill

The climate-driven uncertainty of renewable generation and electricity demand challenges energy security in net-zero energy systems. By introducing a scalable stochastic model that implicitly accounts for 51'840 climate years, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-18 Leonard Göke , Jan Wohland , Stefano Moret , André Bardow

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) is a key component for fully renewable, sector-coupled energy systems based on wind and solar. While capacity expansion planning has begun to take into account interannual weather variability, it often…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt

Conventional feasibility studies of deep decarbonisation are often limited in their temporal scope, and are thus unable to draw conclusions about grid reliability over multi-decadal time periods. To address this problem, we introduce…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-20 J. Dunsmore , L. M. Arthur , R. S. Kemp

The application of the flow tracing method to power flows in and out of storage units allows to analyse the usage of this technology option in large-scale interconnected electricity systems. We apply this method to a data-driven model of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-26 Bo Tranberg , Mirko Schäfer , Tom Brown , Jonas Hörsch , Martin Greiner

Renewable generation from wind and solar power is strongly weather-dependent. To plan future sustainable energy systems that are robust to this variability, a better understanding of why and when periods of low wind and solar power output…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Mockert , Christian M. Grams , Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

To reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many countries plan to massively expand wind power and solar photovoltaic capacities. These variable renewable energy sources require additional flexibility in the power sector. Both geographical…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-13 Alexander Roth , Wolf-Peter Schill

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

The rich countries of Western Europe and its citizens benefited during at least the last 30 years from an extraordinary stable electricity grid. This stability was achieved by the european grid system and a large flexible and reliable spare…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-01 Michael Dittmar

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

This study explores compounding impacts of climate change on power system's load and generation, emphasising the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation strategies into investment planning. We combine existing and novel empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-06 Alice Di Bella , Francesco Pietro Colelli

As variable renewable energy sources increasingly gain importance in global energy systems, there is a growing interest in understanding periods of variable renewable energy shortage ("Dunkelflauten"). Defining, quantifying, and comparing…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill
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