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We present the first application of a Nested Sampling algorithm to explore the high-dimensional phase space of particle collision events. We describe the adaptation of the algorithm, designed to perform Bayesian inference computations, to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-08-09 David Yallup , Timo Janßen , Steffen Schumann , Will Handley

In the era of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), the dramatic improvement in the spectra of exoplanetary atmospheres demands a corresponding leap forward in our ability to analyze them: atmospheric retrievals need to be performed on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-06 Anna Lueber , Konstantin Karchev , Chloe Fisher , Matthias Heim , Roberto Trotta , Kevin Heng

We present an accelerated pipeline, based on high-performance computing techniques and normalizing flows, for joint Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection and demonstrate its efficiency in gravitational wave astrophysics. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-01 Alicja Polanska , Thibeau Wouters , Peter T. H. Pang , Kaze K. W. Wong , Jason D. McEwen

Gravity inversion is a commonly applied data analysis technique in the field of geophysics. While machine learning methods have previously been explored for the problem of gravity inversion, these are deterministic approaches returning a…

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) perform Bayesian posterior inference with expensive MCMC methods. Given a dataset of ~10-100 pulsars and O(10^3) timing residuals each, producing a posterior distribution for the stochastic gravitational wave…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-20 David Shih , Marat Freytsis , Stephen R. Taylor , Jeff A. Dror , Nolan Smyth

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are a class of generative models distinguished by a mathematically invertible architecture, where the forward pass transforms data into a latent space for density estimation, and the reverse pass generates new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Yang Chen , Xiaowei Xu , Shuai Wang , Chenhui Zhu , Ruxue Wen , Xubin Li , Tiezheng Ge , Limin Wang

We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-30 Johannes U. Lange

Gravitational-wave parameter estimation for binary neutron star (BNS) systems poses severe computational challenges due to the extended signal duration, which can reach several minutes in current detectors. Neural posterior estimation…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-27 Masaki Iwaya , Vivien Raymond , Soichiro Morisaki , Kazuki Takada

Each training step for a variational autoencoder (VAE) requires us to sample from the approximate posterior, so we usually choose simple (e.g. factorised) approximate posteriors in which sampling is an efficient computation that fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Laurence Aitchison , Vincent Adam , Srinivas C. Turaga

Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Existing NPE methods typically rely on normalizing flows, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Tianyu Chen , Vansh Bansal , James G. Scott

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

Bayesian posterior inference is prevalent in various machine learning problems. Variational inference provides one way to approximate the posterior distribution, however its expressive power is limited and so is the accuracy of resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

Nested sampling is a powerful approach to Bayesian inference ultimately limited by the computationally demanding task of sampling from a heavily constrained probability distribution. An effective algorithm in its own right, Hamiltonian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

Current endeavours in exoplanet characterisation rely on atmospheric retrieval to quantify crucial physical properties of remote exoplanets from observations. However, the scalability and efficiency of the technique are under strain with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-17 Kai Hou Yip , Quentin Changeat , Ahmed Al-Refaie , Ingo Waldmann

We introduce a general Monte Carlo method based on Nested Sampling (NS), for sampling complex probability distributions and estimating the normalising constant. The method uses one or more particles, which explore a mixture of nested…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-27 Brendon J. Brewer , Livia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi

We combine amortized neural posterior estimation with importance sampling for fast and accurate gravitational-wave inference. We first generate a rapid proposal for the Bayesian posterior using neural networks, and then attach importance…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-05-31 Maximilian Dax , Stephen R. Green , Jonathan Gair , Michael Pürrer , Jonas Wildberger , Jakob H. Macke , Alessandra Buonanno , Bernhard Schölkopf

The data torrent unleashed by current and upcoming astronomical surveys demands scalable analysis methods. Many machine learning approaches scale well, but separating the instrument measurement from the physical effects of interest, dealing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-19 Johannes Buchner

Nested sampling is a Bayesian sampling technique developed to explore probability distributions lo- calised in an exponentially small area of the parameter space. The algorithm provides both posterior samples and an estimate of the evidence…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Nikolas S. Burkoff , Csilla Varnai , Stephen A. Wells , David L. Wild

We propose a novel method ($floZ$), based on normalizing flows, to estimate the Bayesian evidence (and its numerical uncertainty) from a pre-existing set of samples drawn from the unnormalized posterior distribution. We validate it on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Rahul Srinivasan , Marco Crisostomi , Roberto Trotta , Enrico Barausse , Matteo Breschi

We propose Amortized Posterior Sampling (APS), a novel variational inference approach for efficient posterior sampling in inverse problems. Our method trains a conditional flow model to minimize the divergence between the variational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Abbas Mammadov , Hyungjin Chung , Jong Chul Ye