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Decomposing predictive uncertainty into epistemic (model ignorance) and aleatoric (data ambiguity) components is central to reliable decision making, yet most methods estimate both from the same predictive distribution. Recent empirical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Tanmoy Mukherjee , Marius Kloft , Pierre Marquis , Zied Bouraoui

We demonstrate that final-state uncertainty is ubiquitous in multistable systems of coupled neuronal maps, meaning that predicting whether one such system will eventually be chaotic or nonchaotic is often nearly impossible. We propose a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-22 Brandon B. Le , Bennett Lamb , Luke Benfer , Sriharsha Sambangi , Nisal Geemal Vismith , Akshaj Jagarapu

This paper further studies the fuzzy rough sets based on fuzzy coverings. We first present the notions of the lower and upper approximation operators based on fuzzy coverings and derive their basic properties. To facilitate the computation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Guangming Lang , Qingguo Li , Lankun Guo

Epistemic uncertainty in neural networks is commonly modeled using two second-order paradigms: distribution-based representations, which rely on posterior parameter distributions, and set-based representations based on credal sets (convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Kaizheng Wang , Yunjia Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin , David Moens , Hans Hallez , Siu Lun Chau

Inconsistency in prediction problems occurs when instances that relate in a certain way on condition attributes, do not follow the same relation on the decision attribute. For example, in ordinal classification with monotonicity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Marko Palangetić , Chris Cornelis , Salvatore Greco , Roman Słowiński

We study countable embedding-universal and homomorphism-universal structures and unify results related to both of these notions. We show that many universal and ultrahomogeneous structures allow a concise description (called here a finite…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-09-06 Jan Hubicka

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Combinatorics is a fundamental mathematical discipline as well as an essential component of many mathematical areas, and its study has experienced an impressive growth in recent years. One of the main reasons for this growth is the tight…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Noga Alon

For real application and theoretical investigation of ordinary hypergraphs and non-ordinary hypergraphs, researchers need to establish standard rules and feasible operating methods. We propose a visualization tool for investigating…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Fei Ma , Bing Yao

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the set of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become the de facto standard for analyzing graph-structured data, leveraging message-passing techniques to capture both structural and node feature information. However, recent studies have raised concerns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yujia Wu , Bo Yang , Yang Zhao , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Zheshi Zheng

Data integration is a notoriously difficult and heuristic-driven process, especially when ground-truth data are not readily available. This paper presents a measure of uncertainty by providing maximal and minimal ranges of a query outcome…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Deniz Turkcapar , Sanjay Krishnan

Conformal prediction has become increasingly popular for quantifying the uncertainty associated with machine learning models. Recent work in graph uncertainty quantification has built upon this approach for conformal graph prediction. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Pranav Maneriker , Aditya T. Vadlamani , Anutam Srinivasan , Yuntian He , Ali Payani , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

Uncertainty quantification has emerged as a rapidly growing field in nuclear science. Theoretical predictions of physical observables often involve extrapolations to regions that are poorly constrained by laboratory experiments and…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-10-14 Wei-Chia Chen , J. Piekarewicz

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

This book studies ultrafilters on connectivity systems, that is, on pairs \((X,f)\) where \(X\) is a finite set and \(f:2^{X}\to \mathbb{N}\) is a symmetric submodular function. Ultrafilters, which play a fundamental role in topology and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Takaaki Fujita

Neutrosophic set is a part of neutrosophy which studies the origin, nature, and scope of neutralities, as well as their interactions with different ideational spectra. Neutrosophic set is a powerful general formal framework that has been…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Haibin Wang , Praveen Madiraju , Yanqing Zhang , Rajshekhar Sunderraman

3D object reconstruction is important for semantic scene understanding. It is challenging to reconstruct detailed 3D shapes from monocular images directly due to a lack of depth information, occlusion and noise. Most current methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Ziwei Liao , Steven L. Waslander

While uncertainty estimation for graphs recently gained traction, most methods rely on homophily and deteriorate in heterophilic settings. We address this by analyzing message passing neural networks from an information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Johannes Bordne , Stephan Günnemann
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