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Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather prediction research is growing rapidly and has shown to be competitive with the advanced dynamic numerical weather prediction models. However, research combining AI-based weather prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Shunji Kotsuki , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki

Domain adaptation (DA) strives to mitigate the domain gap between the source domain where a model is trained, and the target domain where the model is deployed. When a deep learning model is deployed on an aerial platform, it may face…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Chowdhury Sadman Jahan , Andreas Savakis

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

Satellite observation operators play an essential role in atmospheric data assimilation by translating model state variables into observation space. Previous work has shown that deep-learned emulators can effectively predict the outputs of…

Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-27 Zekun Ni , Jonathan Weyn , Hang Zhang , Yanfei Xiang , Jiang Bian , Weixin Jin , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun

The Data Assimilation (DA) community has been developing various diagnostics to understand the importance of the observing system in accurately forecasting the weather. They usually rely on the ability to compute the derivatives of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-03 Patrick Laloyaux , Mihai Alexe , Eulalie Boucher , Peter Lean , Ewan Pinnington , Simon Lang , Tobias Necker , Anthony McNally

The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Christian Thibeault , Antoine Strugarek , Paul Charbonneau , Benoit Tremblay

Variational Data Assimilation (DA) has enabled huge improvements in the skill of operational weather forecasting. In this study, we use a simple solar-wind propagation model to develop the first solar-wind variational DA scheme. This scheme…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-10-19 Matthew Lang , Mathew Owens

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Modern deep learning techniques, which mimic traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and are derived from global atmospheric reanalysis data, have caused a significant revolution within a few years. In this new paradigm, our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Minjong Cheon , Daehyun Kang , Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang

While machine learning-based weather prediction (MLWP) has achieved significant advancements, research on assimilating real observations or ensemble forecasts within MLWP models remains limited. We introduce ClimaX-LETKF, the first purely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Akira Takeshima , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki , Tadashi Tsuyuki , Shunji Kotsuki

Data assimilation (DA) combines model forecasts and observations to estimate the optimal state of the atmosphere with its uncertainty, providing initial conditions for weather prediction and reanalyses for climate research. Yet, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hang Fan , Juan Nathaniel , Yi Xiao , Ce Bian , Fenghua Ling , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Pierre Gentine

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to rapidly evolve, the realm of Earth and atmospheric sciences is increasingly adopting data-driven models, powered by progressive developments in deep learning (DL). Specifically, DL techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Dikai Liu , Chengqi Zhang

Data Assimilation (DA) plays a critical role in atmospheric science by reconstructing spatially continous estimates of the system state, which serves as initial conditions for scientific analysis. While recent advances in diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Hao Wang , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Weijia Zhang , Hao Liu

Accurate weather and climate prediction relies on data assimilation (DA), which estimates the Earth system state by integrating observations with models. While exascale computing has significantly advanced earth simulation, scalable and…

Recent advances in AI-based weather prediction have led to the development of artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models with competitive forecast skill compared to traditional NWP models, but with substantially reduced…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Nicholas Loveday , Tracy Hertneky

Data Assimilation (DA) has enabled huge improvements in the skill of terrestrial operational weather forecasting. In this study, we use a variational DA scheme with a computationally efficient solar wind model and in situ observations from…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 Matthew Lang , Jake Witherington , Harriet Turner , Matt Owens , Pete Riley

``Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a new seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean--atmosphere--sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-27 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Eric J. Steig

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang