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Related papers: Predictive Power of LLMs in Financial Markets

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The paper benchmarks several Transformer models [4], to show how these models can judge sentiment from a news event. This signal can then be used for downstream modelling and signal identification for commodity trading. We find that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Edward Sharkey , Philip Treleaven

We investigate whether large language models (LLMs) can successfully perform financial statement analysis in a way similar to a professional human analyst. We provide standardized and anonymous financial statements to GPT4 and instruct the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Alex Kim , Maximilian Muhn , Valeri Nikolaev

Financial sentiment has become a crucial yet complex concept in finance, increasingly used in market forecasting and investment strategies. Despite its growing importance, there remains a need to define and understand what financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

Large Language Models (LLMs), prominently highlighted by the recent evolution in the Generative Pre-trained Transformers (GPT) series, have displayed significant prowess across various domains, such as aiding in healthcare diagnostics and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 Yang Li , Yangyang Yu , Haohang Li , Zhi Chen , Khaldoun Khashanah

This paper introduces BreakGPT, a novel large language model (LLM) architecture adapted specifically for time series forecasting and the prediction of sharp upward movements in asset prices. By leveraging both the capabilities of LLMs and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Aleksandr Simonyan

With the increasing impacts of climate change, there is a growing demand for accessible tools that can provide reliable future climate information to support planning, finance, and other decision-making applications. Large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Yang Wang , Hassan A. Karimi

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate reliable stock market predictions. We evaluate four state-of-the-art models - ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Perplexity - across three prompting strategies: a naive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-21 Ricardo Crisostomo , Diana Mykhalyuk

This paper presents a novel study on harnessing Large Language Models' (LLMs) outstanding knowledge and reasoning abilities for explainable financial time series forecasting. The application of machine learning models to financial time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xinli Yu , Zheng Chen , Yuan Ling , Shujing Dong , Zongyi Liu , Yanbin Lu

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising performance in various financial applications, though their potential in complex investment strategies remains underexplored. To address this gap, we investigate how LLMs can predict…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yoshia Abe , Shuhei Matsuo , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

Machine learning techniques applied to the problem of financial market forecasting struggle with dynamic regime switching, or underlying correlation and covariance shifts in true (hidden) market variables. Drawing inspiration from the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-25 Raeid Saqur

Previous literatures show that pre-trained masked language models (MLMs) such as BERT can achieve competitive factual knowledge extraction performance on some datasets, indicating that MLMs can potentially be a reliable knowledge source. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Boxi Cao , Hongyu Lin , Xianpei Han , Le Sun , Lingyong Yan , Meng Liao , Tong Xue , Jin Xu

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

Large language models (LLMs) promise to democratize financial analysis by reducing information-processing costs. Yet equal access does not ensure equal outcomes, as the locus of friction may shift from processing information to evaluating…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Edward Li , Min Shen , Zhiyuan Tu , Dexin Zhou

Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis",…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Md Khairul Islam , Ayush Karmacharya , Timothy Sue , Judy Fox

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been shown to perform well for many downstream tasks. Transfer learning can enable LLMs to acquire skills that were not targeted during pre-training. In financial contexts, LLMs can sometimes beat…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-08 Felix Drinkall , Janet B. Pierrehumbert , Stefan Zohren

Annual Reports of publicly listed companies contain vital information about their financial health which can help assess the potential impact on Stock price of the firm. These reports are comprehensive in nature, going up to, and sometimes…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-07 Udit Gupta

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

In recent years, Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have seen considerable advancements and have been applied in diverse fields. Built on the Transformer architecture, these models are trained on extensive datasets, enabling them to…

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