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Numerical weather prediction has long been constrained by the computational bottlenecks inherent in data assimilation and numerical modeling. While machine learning has accelerated forecasting, existing models largely serve as "emulators of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiaoze Xu , Xiuyu Sun , Songling Zhu , Xiaohui Zhong , Yuanqing Huang , Zijian Zhu , Jun Liu , Hao Li

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is critical for disaster warning and emergency response. Deep learning methods address computational challenges but often neglect physical relationships between TC attributes, resulting in predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Lei Liu , Xiaoning Yu , Kang Chen , Jiahui Huang , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Bin Li

Accurate cyclone forecasting is essential for minimizing loss of life, infrastructure damage, and economic disruption. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, though effective, are computationally intensive and prone to error due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ethan Zachary Lo , Dan Chie-Tien Lo

Past efforts to interrogate the mantle's contribution to Earth's topography suffer from inadequate in-situ measurements of true bathymetry and the involvement of an empirical plate model whose presumed lithospheric density profile…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-27 Adam J. Stewart , Yanchong Li , Zebin Cao , Lijun Liu

Accurate prediction of typhoon trajectories is essential for mitigating the impact of these extreme weather events. This study proposes a functional data analysis (FDA) framework for modeling and forecasting typhoon paths using historical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Jimin Kim

Neural networks have opened up many new opportunities to utilize remotely sensed images in meteorology. Common applications include image classification, e.g., to determine whether an image contains a tropical cyclone, and image…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-08 Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Kyle A. Hilburn

Accurate typhoon track forecasting is crucial for early system warning and disaster response. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance in modeling the temporal dynamics of dense trajectories of humans and vehicles…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Lincan Li , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects of LHF in this period and how deep learning has incorporated variants of trend, seasonality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Hans Krupakar , Kandappan V A

Data-driven machine learning (ML) models, such as FuXi, exhibit notable limitations in forecasting typhoon intensity and structure. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of FuXi-SHTM, a hybrid ML-physics model, using all 2024…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Hao Li , Xuliang Fan , Yuhua Yang , Mengqi Yang , Bo Qin

The tropical cyclone formation process is one of the most complex natural phenomena which is governed by various atmospheric, oceanographic, and geographic factors that varies with time and space. Despite several years of research,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey

The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Rikhi Bose , Adam L. Pintar , Emil Simiu

Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…

Regional rainfall-runoff modeling is an old but still mostly out-standing problem in Hydrological Sciences. The problem currently is that traditional hydrological models degrade significantly in performance when calibrated for multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Guy Shalev , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter , Grey Nearing

Analyzing big geophysical observational data collected by multiple advanced sensors on various satellite platforms promotes our understanding of the geophysical system. For instance, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have achieved great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Boyo Chen , Buo-Fu Chen , Yun-Nung Chen

Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains challenging due to limited satellite observations probing TC structure and difficulties in resolving cloud properties involved in TC intensification. Recent research has demonstrated…

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…