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The pooling of prior opinions is an important area of research and has been for a number of decades. The idea is to obtain a single belief probability distribution from a set of expert opinion belief distributions. The paper proposes a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 A. Kume , C. Villa , S. G. Walker

We consider multi-agent stochastic optimization problems over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). In this setting, a network of interconnected agents aims to learn decision functions, i.e., nonlinear statistical models, that are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Alec Koppel , Santiago Paternain , Cedric Richard , Alejandro Ribeiro

Although linear classifiers are one of the oldest methods in machine learning, they are still very popular in the machine learning community. This is due to their low computational complexity and robustness to overfitting. Consequently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Pawel Trajdos , Robert Burduk

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

A Hilbert space embedding for probability measures has recently been proposed, wherein any probability measure is represented as a mean element in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Such an embedding has found applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-03-04 Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Kenji Fukumizu , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

Random Forests and Gradient Boosting are among the most effective algorithms for supervised learning on tabular data. Both belong to the class of tree-based ensemble methods, where predictions are obtained by aggregating many randomized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Mehdi Dagdoug , Clement Dombry , Jean-Jil Duchamps

Predictive State Representations (PSRs) are an expressive class of models for controlled stochastic processes. PSRs represent state as a set of predictions of future observable events. Because PSRs are defined entirely in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Byron Boots , Geoffrey Gordon , Arthur Gretton

Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk

We present several generative and predictive algorithms based on the RKHS (reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces) methodology, which, most importantly, are scale up efficiently with large datasets or high-dimensional data. It is well recognized…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Philippe G. LeFloch , Jean-Marc Mercier , Shohruh Miryusupov

Automated model selection is often proposed to users to choose which machine learning model (or method) to apply to a given regression task. In this paper, we show that combining different regression models can yield better results than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Patrick Echtenbruck , Martina Echtenbruck , Joost Batenburg , Thomas Bäck , Boris Naujoks , Michael Emmerich

We propose kernel distributionally robust optimization (Kernel DRO) using insights from the robust optimization theory and functional analysis. Our method uses reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) to construct a wide range of convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Jia-Jie Zhu , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

We propose a general framework for policy representation for reinforcement learning tasks. This framework involves finding a low-dimensional embedding of the policy on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). The usage of RKHS based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Bogdan Mazoure , Thang Doan , Tianyu Li , Vladimir Makarenkov , Joelle Pineau , Doina Precup , Guillaume Rabusseau

Statistical machine learning plays an important role in modern statistics and computer science. One main goal of statistical machine learning is to provide universally consistent algorithms, i.e., the estimator converges in probability or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Christmann , Florian Dumpert , Dao-Hong Xiang

The performance of adaptive estimators that employ embedding in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) depends on the choice of the location of basis kernel centers. Parameter convergence and error approximation rates depend on where and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Sai Tej Paruchuri , Jia Guo , Andrew Kurdila

Combining predictions from different models is a central problem in Bayesian inference and machine learning more broadly. Currently, these predictive distributions are almost exclusively combined using linear mixtures such as Bayesian model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 Yuling Yao , Luiz Max Carvalho , Diego Mesquita , Yann McLatchie

We study a functional linear regression model that deals with functional responses and allows for both functional covariates and high-dimensional vector covariates. The proposed model is flexible and nests several functional regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu , Rebecca Willett

We review machine learning methods employing positive definite kernels. These methods formulate learning and estimation problems in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) of functions defined on the data domain, expanded in terms of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Thomas Hofmann , Bernhard Schölkopf , Alexander J. Smola

Empirical data can often be considered as samples from a set of probability distributions. Kernel methods have emerged as a natural approach for learning to classify these distributions. Although numerous kernels between distributions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Oleksii Kachaiev , Stefano Recanatesi