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On time-series data, most causal discovery methods fit a new model whenever they encounter samples from a new underlying causal graph. However, these samples often share relevant information which is lost when following this approach.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Sindy Löwe , David Madras , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

A new causal discovery method, Structural Agnostic Modeling (SAM), is presented in this paper. Leveraging both conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries, SAM aims to find the underlying causal structure from observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-26 Diviyan Kalainathan , Olivier Goudet , Isabelle Guyon , David Lopez-Paz , Michèle Sebag

Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization deals with the prevalent learning scenario where test distribution shifts from training distribution. With rising application demands and inherent complexity, graph OOD problems call for specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Xiner Li , Shurui Gui , Youzhi Luo , Shuiwang Ji

Multivariate time series forecasting is a challenging task because the data involves a mixture of long- and short-term patterns, with dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies among variables. Existing graph neural networks (GNN) typically model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Zhuoling Li , Gaowei Zhang , Lingyu Xu , Jie Yu

Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Yuxuan Liu , Wenchao Xu , Haozhao Wang , Zhiming He , Zhaofeng Shi , Chongyang Xu , Peichao Wang , Boyuan Zhang

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection aims to detect "unknown" data whose labels have not been seen during the in-distribution (ID) training process. Recent progress in representation learning gives rise to distance-based OOD detection that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Ji Zhang , Lianli Gao , Bingguang Hao , Hao Huang , Jingkuan Song , Hengtao Shen

In spite of the tremendous development of recommender system owing to the progressive capability of machine learning recently, the current recommender system is still vulnerable to the distribution shift of users and items in realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Yue He , Zimu Wang , Peng Cui , Hao Zou , Yafeng Zhang , Qiang Cui , Yong Jiang

Graph neural networks use relational information as an inductive bias to enhance prediction performance. Not rarely, task-relevant relations are unknown and graph structure learning approaches have been proposed to learn them from data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Alessandro Manenti , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We explore the usage of meta-learning to derive the causal direction between variables by optimizing over a measure of distribution simplicity. We incorporate a stochastic graph representation which includes latent variables and allows for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Justin Wong , Dominik Damjakob

Existing methods for graph out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization primarily rely on empirical studies on synthetic datasets. Such approaches tend to overemphasize the causal relationships between invariant sub-graphs and labels, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Can Xu , Yao Cheng , Jianxiang Yu , Haosen Wang , Jingsong Lv , Yao Liu , Xiang Li

Multivariate time-series anomaly detection is critically important in many applications, including retail, transportation, power grid, and water treatment plants. Existing approaches for this problem mostly employ either statistical models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Yu Zheng , Huan Yee Koh , Ming Jin , Lianhua Chi , Khoa T. Phan , Shirui Pan , Yi-Ping Phoebe Chen , Wei Xiang

Many large-scale applications can be elegantly represented using graph structures. Their scalability, however, is often limited by the domain knowledge required to apply them. To address this problem, we propose a novel Causal Temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Abigail Langbridge , Fearghal O'Donncha , Amadou Ba , Fabio Lorenzi , Christopher Lohse , Joern Ploennigs

Despite recent success in using the invariance principle for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization on Euclidean data (e.g., images), studies on graph data are still limited. Different from images, the complex nature of graphs poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Yongqiang Chen , Yonggang Zhang , Yatao Bian , Han Yang , Kaili Ma , Binghui Xie , Tongliang Liu , Bo Han , James Cheng

One of the challenges in studying the interactions in large graphs is to learn their diverse pattern and various interaction types. Hence, considering only one distribution and model to study all nodes and ignoring their diversity and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Mehrtash Mehrabi , Yingxue Zhang

Recently, deep learning methods have made great progress in traffic prediction, but their performance depends on a large amount of historical data. In reality, we may face the data scarcity issue. In this case, deep learning models fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Xueyan Yin , Feifan Li , Yanming Shen , Heng Qi , Baocai Yin

Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Tongfe Guo , Taposh Banerjee , Rui Liu , Lili Su

Traffic assignment and traffic flow prediction provide critical insights for urban planning, traffic management, and the development of intelligent transportation systems. An efficient model for calculating traffic flows over the entire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Tong Liu , Hadi Meidani

Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for modeling dynamic graph-structured data across diverse domains. However, they often fail to generalize in Spatio-Temporal Out-of-Distribution (STOOD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Haoyu Zhang , Wentao Zhang , Hao Miao , Xinke Jiang , Yuchen Fang , Yifan Zhang

Accurate traffic prediction is a challenging task in intelligent transportation systems because of the complex spatio-temporal dependencies in transportation networks. Many existing works utilize sophisticated temporal modeling approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Guangyin Jin , Fuxian Li , Jinlei Zhang , Mudan Wang , Jincai Huang

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection aims to detect testing samples far away from the in-distribution (ID) training data, which is crucial for the safe deployment of machine learning models in the real world. Distance-based OOD detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Haodong Lu , Dong Gong , Shuo Wang , Jason Xue , Lina Yao , Kristen Moore