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While most time series are non-stationary, it is inevitable for models to face the distribution shift issue in time series forecasting. Existing solutions manipulate statistical measures (usually mean and std.) to adjust time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Wei Fan , Kun Yi , Hangting Ye , Zhiyuan Ning , Qi Zhang , Ning An

This study introduces adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and adaptive robust stochastic optimization (ARSO) approaches to address long- and short-term uncertainties in the optimal sizing and placement of distributed energy resources in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Fernando García-Muñoz , Cristian Duran-Mateluna

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jiaqi Wen , Jianyi Yang

Vision Transformers (ViTs) have achieved remarkable success in computer vision tasks. However, their potential in rotation-sensitive scenarios has not been fully explored, and this limitation may be inherently attributed to the lack of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Hongtian Yu , Yunjie Tian , Qixiang Ye , Yunfan Liu

In many open environment applications, data are collected in the form of a stream, which exhibits an evolving distribution over time. How to design algorithms to track these evolving data distributions with provable guarantees, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Chao Xu , Xijia Tang , Guoqing Liu , Yuhua Qian , Chenping Hou

Stream networks, a unique class of spatiotemporal graphs, exhibit complex directional flow constraints and evolving dependencies, making uncertainty quantification a critical yet challenging task. Traditional conformal prediction methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Jifan Zhang , Fangxin Wang , Zihe Song , Philip S. Yu , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

It is a well-known fact that the performance of deep learning models deteriorates when they encounter a distribution shift at test time. Test-time adaptation (TTA) algorithms have been proposed to adapt the model online while inferring test…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Jayeon Yoo , Dongkwan Lee , Inseop Chung , Donghyun Kim , Nojun Kwak

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Manmeet Singh , Nachiketa Acharya , Sajad Jamshidi , Junfeng Jiao , Zong-Liang Yang , Marc Coudert , Zach Baumer , Dev Niyogi

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Wei Jiang , Zhongkai Yi , Li Wang , Hanwei Zhang , Jihai Zhang , Fangquan Lin , Cheng Yang

Although spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved great empirical success in handling multiple correlated time series, they may be impractical in some real-world scenarios due to a lack of sufficient high-quality training data.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-10 Chao Pan , Siheng Chen , Antonio Ortega

This paper focuses on the contextual optimization problem where a decision is subject to some uncertain parameters and covariates that have some predictive power on those parameters are available before the decision is made. More…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-12 Zhaoen Li , Maoqi Liu , Zhi-Hai Zhang

We consider stochastic optimization with delayed gradients where, at each time step $t$, the algorithm makes an update using a stale stochastic gradient from step $t - d_t$ for some arbitrary delay $d_t$. This setting abstracts asynchronous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alon Cohen , Amit Daniely , Yoel Drori , Tomer Koren , Mariano Schain

Short-term OD flow (i.e. the number of passenger traveling between stations) prediction is crucial to traffic management in metro systems. Due to the delayed effect in latest complete OD flow collection, complex spatiotemporal correlations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Jiexia Ye , Juanjuan Zhao , Furong Zheng , Chengzhong Xu

New roads are being constructed all the time. However, the capabilities of previous deep forecasting models to generalize to new roads not seen in the training data (unseen roads) are rarely explored. In this paper, we introduce a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Arian Prabowo , Hao Xue , Wei Shao , Piotr Koniusz , Flora D. Salim

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges from non-stationarity, particularly distributional drift, where the data distribution evolves over time. This dynamic behavior can undermine the effectiveness of adaptive optimizers, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Yuze Dong , Jinsong Wu

Reliably predicting future occupancy of highly dynamic urban environments is an important precursor for safe autonomous navigation. Common challenges in the prediction include forecasting the relative position of other vehicles, modelling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Khushdeep Singh Mann , Abhishek Tomy , Anshul Paigwar , Alessandro Renzaglia , Christian Laugier

Accurately forecasting the real-time travel demand for dockless scooter-sharing is crucial for the planning and operations of transportation systems. Deep learning models provide researchers with powerful tools to achieve this task, but…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Yiming Xu , Xilei Zhao , Xiaojian Zhang , Mudit Paliwal

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

Recent years have witnessed a rapid growth of applying deep spatiotemporal methods in traffic forecasting. However, the prediction of origin-destination (OD) demands is still a challenging problem since the number of OD pairs is usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Ruixing Zhang , Liangzhe Han , Boyi Liu , Jiayuan Zeng , Leilei Sun

Traffic flow forecasting is a fundamental research issue for transportation planning and management, which serves as a canonical and typical example of spatial-temporal predictions. In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Qingqing Long , Zheng Fang , Chen Fang , Chong Chen , Pengfei Wang , Yuanchun Zhou
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