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The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

Suppose that the edges of a complete graph are assigned weights independently at random and we ask for the weight of the minimal-weight spanning tree, or perfect matching, or Hamiltonian cycle. For these and several other common…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Yun Cheng , Yixue Liu , Tomasz Tkocz , Albert Xu

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

We prove nonasymptotic matrix concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of (sub)gaussian random matrices with centered independent entries that capture fluctuations at the Tracy-Widom scale. This considerably improves previous bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

Statistical modeling of high dimensional extremes remains challenging and has generally been limited to moderate dimensions. Understanding structural relationships among variables at their extreme levels is crucial both for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Mihyun Kim , Jeongjin Lee

This is Part II of our work about random tensor inequalities and tail bounds for bivariate random tensor means. After reviewing basic facts about random tensors, we first consider tail bounds with more general connection functions. Then, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Shih-Yu Chang

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an extreme quantile of a Weibull tail-distribution. The new extreme quantile estimator has a reduced bias compared to the more classical ones proposed in the literature. It is based on an…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-01 Jean Diebolt , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard , Armelle Guillou

We consider the extreme eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix $Q=YY^*$ under the generalized elliptical model that $Y=\Sigma^{1/2}XD.$ Here $\Sigma$ is a bounded $p \times p$ positive definite deterministic matrix representing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Xiucai Ding , Jiahui Xie , Long Yu , Wang Zhou

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

We consider the product of \(k_{n}\) independent \(n\times n\) complex Ginibre matrices and denote its eigenvalues by \(Z_{1},\ldots ,Z_{n}\). Let \(\alpha = \lim_{n\to\infty} n / k_{n}\). Using the determinantal point process method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yutao Ma , Xujia Meng

We consider random Schr\"odinger operators of the form $\Delta+\xi$, where $\Delta$ is the lattice Laplacian on $\mathbb Z^d$ and $\xi$ is an i.i.d. random field, and study the extreme order statistics of the eigenvalues for this operator…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-13 Marek Biskup , Wolfgang Koenig

We study ill-conditioned positive definite matrices that are disturbed by the sum of $m$ rank-one matrices of a specific form. We provide estimates for the eigenvalues and eigenvectors. When the condition number of the initial matrix tends…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Armand Gissler , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

We introduce the notion of extremal basis of tangent vector fields at a boundary point of finite type of a pseudo-convex domain in $\mathbb{C}^n$. Then we define the class of geometrically separated domains at a boundary point, and give a…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Philippe Charpentier , Yves Dupain

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

We study the averaged product of characteristic polynomials of large random matrices in the Gaussian beta-ensemble perturbed by an external source of finite rank. We prove that at the edge of the spectrum, the limiting correlations involve…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-15 Patrick Desrosiers , Dang-Zheng Liu