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Information and uncertainty are closely related and extensively studied concepts in a number of scientific disciplines such as communication theory, probability theory, and statistics. Increasing the information arguably reduces the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Jiahua Chen

The paper introduces notions of robustness margins geared towards the analysis and design of systems that switch and oscillate. While such phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and in engineering, a theory of robustness for behaviors away from…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Alberto Padoan , Fulvio Forni , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

Stochastic chains represent a wide and key variety of phenomena in many branches of science within the context of Information Theory and Thermodynamics. They are typically approached by a sequence of independent events or by a memoryless…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-06 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez

Many biological, psychological and economic experiments have been designed where an organism or individual must choose between two options that have the same expected reward but differ in the variance of reward received. In this way,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-20 Jared M. Field , Michael B. Bonsall

We study the convergence properties of a pair of learning algorithms (learning with and without memory). This leads us to study the dominant eigenvalue of a class of random matrices. This turns out to be related to the roots of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Natalia Komarova , Igor Rivin

We explore the ways that a reference point may direct attention. Utilizing a stochastic choice framework, we provide behavioral foundations for the Reference-Dependent Random Attention Model (RD-RAM). Our characterization result shows that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-03-21 Matthew Kovach , Elchin Suleymanov

In this paper, we generalize and improve some fundamental concentration inequalities using information on the random variables' higher moments. In particular, we improve the classical Hoeffding's and Bennett's inequalities for the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Bar Light

This essay looks at decision-making with interval-valued probability measures. Existing decision methods have either supplemented expected utility methods with additional criteria of optimality, or have attempted to supplement the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ronald P. Loui

This research investigates the impact of dynamic, time-varying interactions on cooperative behaviour in social dilemmas. Traditional research has focused on deterministic rules governing pairwise interactions, yet the impact of interaction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-20 Yujie He , Tianyu Ren , Xiao-Jun Zeng , Huawen Liang , Liukai Yu , Junjun Zheng

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Stochastic systems with memory naturally appear in life science, economy, and finance. We take the modelling point of view of stochastic functional delay equations and we study these structures when the driving noises admit jumps. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-01 D. R. Baños , F. Cordoni , G. Di Nunno , L. Di Persio , E. E. Røse

High-dimensional systems that have a low-dimensional dominant behavior allow for model reduction and simplified analysis. We use differential analysis to formalize this important concept in a nonlinear setting. We show that dominance can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Fulvio Forni , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

In reinforcement learning episodes, the rewards and punishments are often non-deterministic, and there are invariably stochastic elements governing the underlying situation. Such stochastic elements are often numerous and cannot be known in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Nikki Lijing Kuang , Clement H. C. Leung , Vienne W. K. Sung

We address the issue of variable selection in the regression model with very high ambient dimension, that is, when the number of variables is very large. The main focus is on the situation where the number of relevant variables, called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Laëtitia Comminges , Arnak Dalalyan

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

The paper studies solutions of stochastic partial differential equations with random initial conditions. First, it overviews some of the known results on scaled solutions of such equations and provides several explicit motivating examples.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Maha Mosaad A Alghamdi , Nikolai Leonenko , Andriy Olenko

We formulate, using heuristic reasoning, precise conjectures for the range of the number of primes in intervals of length $y$ around $x$, where $y\ll (\log x)^2$. In particular we conjecture that the maximum grows surprisingly slowly as $y$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Andrew Granville , Allysa Lumley

Superstatistics is a widely employed tool of non-equilibrium statistical physics which plays an important role in analysis of hierarchical complex dynamical systems. Yet, its "canonical" formulation in terms of a single nuisance parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-10 Petr Jizba , Jan Korbel , Hynek Lavička , Martin Prokš , Václav Svoboda , Christian Beck