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Machine learning is vital in high-stakes domains, yet conventional validation methods rely on averaging metrics like mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE), which fail to quantify extreme errors. Worst-case prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Umberto Michelucci , Francesca Venturini

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

In this letter, we present a novel exponentially embedded families (EEF) based classification method, in which the probability density function (PDF) on raw data is estimated from the PDF on features. With the PDF construction, we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-24 Bo Tang , Steven Kay , Haibo He , Paul M. Baggenstoss

Data classification, the process of analyzing data and organizing it into categories, is a fundamental computing problem of natural and artificial information processing systems. Ideally, the performance of classifier models would be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Claus Metzner , Achim Schilling , Maximilian Traxdorf , Konstantin Tziridis , Holger Schulze , Patrick Krauss

Numerous signals in relevant signal processing applications can be modeled as a sum of complex exponentials. Each exponential term entails a particular property of the modeled physical system, and it is possible to define families of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-10 Magdalena Bouza , Andres Altieri , Cecilia G. Galarza

Machine learning classification methods usually assume that all possible classes are sufficiently present within the training set. Due to their inherent rarities, extreme events are always under-represented and classifiers tailored for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Juliette Legrand , Philippe Naveau , Marco Oesting

Statistical approaches for Functional Data Analysis concern the paradigm for which the individuals are functions or curves rather than finite dimensional vectors. In this paper, we particularly focus on the modeling and the classification…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Hervé Glotin

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

Identifying frail older adults in an ageing population is essential for improving healthcare services. This study proposes a composite indicator to assess individual frailty levels using administrative healthcare data. Given the complex and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Sara Rebottini , Pietro Belloni

In econometrics, the Efficient Market Hypothesis posits that asset prices reflect all available information in the market. Several empirical investigations show that market efficiency drops when it undergoes extreme events. Many models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-02 Junshu Jiang , Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , David Bolin

Statistical depth, a commonly used analytic tool in non-parametric statistics, has been extensively studied for multivariate and functional observations over the past few decades. Although various forms of depth were introduced, they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Weilong Zhao , Zishen Xu , Yun Yang , Wei Wu

Understanding the complex structure of multivariate extremes is a major challenge in various fields from portfolio monitoring and environmental risk management to insurance. In the framework of multivariate Extreme Value Theory, a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Hamid Jalalzai , Rémi Leluc

Extreme value analysis (EVA) is a statistical method that studies the properties of extreme values of datasets, crucial for fields like engineering, meteorology, finance, insurance, and environmental science. EVA models extreme events using…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Kumiko Hayashi , Nobumichi Takamatsu , Shunki Takaramoto

Causal understanding is essential for many kinds of decision-making, but causal inference from observational data has typically only been applied to structured, low-dimensional datasets. While text classifiers produce low-dimensional…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Zach Wood-Doughty , Ilya Shpitser , Mark Dredze

During the last decades, many methods for the analysis of functional data including classification methods have been developed. Nonetheless, there are issues that have not been adressed satisfactorily by currently available methods, as, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-08 Karen Fuchs , Wolfgang Pößnecker , Gerhard Tutz

With the advance of modern technology, more and more data are being recorded continuously during a time interval or intermittently at several discrete time points. They are both examples of "functional data", which have become a prevailing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Jane-Ling Wang , Jeng-Min Chiou , Hans-Georg Mueller

Extreme values and the tail behavior of probability distributions are essential for quantifying and mitigating risk in complex systems of all kinds. In multivariate settings, accounting for correlations is crucial. Although extreme value…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Benjamin Köhler , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

The estimated accuracy of a classifier is a random quantity with variability. A common practice in supervised machine learning, is thus to test if the estimated accuracy is significantly better than chance level. This method of signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Jonathan D. Rosenblatt , Yuval Benjamini , Roee Gilron , Roy Mukamel , Jelle J. Goeman

This paper aims to categorize bank transactions using weak supervision, natural language processing, and deep neural network techniques. Our approach minimizes the reliance on expensive and difficult-to-obtain manual annotations by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Liam Toran , Cory Van Der Walt , Alan Sammarone , Alex Keller

We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Heré Glotin , Céline Rabouy
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