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This paper presents preliminary work on computing upper bounds on the estimation error covariance in the framework of the extended Kalman filter. The approach taken is using quadratic constraints to bound the dynamic nonlinearities and use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Sze Kwan Cheah , Yingjie Hu

Accurate state estimation plays a critical role in ensuring the robust control of humanoid robots, particularly in the context of learning-based control policies for legged robots. However, there is a notable gap in analytical research…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Zhicheng Wang , Wandi Wei , Ruiqi Yu , Jun Wu , Qiuguo Zhu

We present a new method for automatically generating the implementation of state-estimation algorithms from a machine-readable specification of the physics of a sensing system and physics of its signals and signal constraints. We implement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-30 Orestis Kaparounakis , Vasileios Tsoutsouras , Dimitrios Soudris , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

Data assimilation techniques are widely used to predict complex dynamical systems with uncertainties, based on time-series observation data. Error covariance matrices modelling is an important element in data assimilation algorithms which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Sibo Cheng , Mingming Qiu

Accurate platform localization is an integral component of most robotic systems. As these robotic systems become more ubiquitous, it is necessary to develop robust state estimation algorithms that are able to withstand novel and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

This article investigates the problem of data-driven state estimation for linear systems with both unknown system dynamics and noise covariances. We propose an Autocovariance Least-squares-based Data-driven Kalman Filter (ADKF), which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Suyang Hu , Xiaoxu Lyu , Peihu Duan , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Data assimilation techniques are often confronted with challenges handling complex high dimensional physical systems, because high precision simulation in complex high dimensional physical systems is computationally expensive and the exact…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Jinyang Min , Che Liu , Rossella Arcucci

Vehicle state estimation presents a fundamental challenge for autonomous driving systems, requiring both physical interpretability and the ability to capture complex nonlinear behaviors across diverse operating conditions. Traditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Farid Mafi , Ladan Khoshnevisan , Mohammad Pirani , Amir Khajepour

This letter deals with the problem of state estimation for a class of systems involving linear dynamics with multiple quadratic output measurements. We propose a systematic approach to immerse the original system into a linear time-varying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-19 Soulaimane Berkane , Dionysis Theodosis , Tarek Hamel , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Deep learning has the potential to dramatically impact navigation and tracking state estimation problems critical to autonomous vehicles and robotics. Measurement uncertainties in state estimation systems based on Kalman and other Bayes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Rebecca L. Russell , Christopher Reale

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

This paper presents a reduced-order approach for four-dimensional variational data assimilation, based on a prior EO F analysis of a model trajectory. This method implies two main advantages: a natural model-based definition of a mul…

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

We demonstrate that a deep learning emulator for chaotic systems can forecast phenomena absent from training data. Using the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky and beta-plane turbulence models, we evaluate the emulator through scenarios probing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Ira J. S. Shokar , Peter H. Haynes , Rich R. Kerswell

We consider the problem of an ensemble Kalman filter when only partial observations are available. In particular we consider the situation where the observational space consists of variables which are directly observable with known…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Georg A. Gottwald , Lewis Mitchell , Sebastian Reich

Recent studies have shown that it is possible to combine machine learning methods with data assimilation to reconstruct a dynamical system using only sparse and noisy observations of that system. The same approach can be used to correct the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-09 Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Quentin Malartic

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard
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