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Neural networks serve as effective controllers in a variety of complex settings due to their ability to represent expressive policies. The complex nature of neural networks, however, makes their output difficult to verify and predict, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Sydney M. Katz , Kyle D. Julian , Christopher A. Strong , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Many important problems in the real world don't have unique solutions. It is thus important for machine learning models to be capable of proposing different plausible solutions with meaningful probability measures. In this work we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui

Incorporating domain knowledge into the modeling process is an effective way to improve learning accuracy. However, as it is provided by humans, domain knowledge can only be specified with some degree of uncertainty. We propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Yi Mao , Guy Lebanon

We introduce a simple but effective method for managing risk in model-based reinforcement learning with trajectory sampling that involves probabilistic safety constraints and balancing of optimism in the face of epistemic uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Marin Vlastelica , Sebastian Blaes , Cristina Pineri , Georg Martius

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Constrained motion planning is a common but challenging problem in robotic manipulation. In recent years, data-driven constrained motion planning algorithms have shown impressive planning speed and success rate. Among them, the latent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Jiawei Zhang , Chengchao Bai , Wei Pan , Tianhang Liu , Jifeng Guo

Safety is a critical concern for the success of urban air mobility, especially in dynamic and uncertain environments. This paper proposes a path planning algorithm based on RRT in conjunction with chance constraints in the presence of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Pengcheng Wu , Lin Li , Junfei Xie , Jun Chen

Online map generation and trajectory prediction are critical components of the autonomous driving perception-prediction-planning pipeline. While modern vectorized mapping models achieve high geometric accuracy, they typically treat map…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Pritom Gogoi , Faris Janjoš , Bin Yang , Andreas Look

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Recurrent Neural Network, Long Short-Term Memory, and Transformer have made great progress in predicting the trajectories of moving objects. Although the trajectory element with the surrounding scene features has been merged to improve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Wendong Zhang , Qingjie Chai , Quanqi Zhang , Chengwei Wu

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Traversability estimation in rugged, unstructured environments remains a challenging problem in field robotics. Often, the need for precise, accurate traversability estimation is in direct opposition to the limited sensing and compute…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Samuel Triest , David D. Fan , Sebastian Scherer , Ali-Akbar Agha-Mohammadi

Probabilistic inference algorithms such as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) provide powerful tools for constraining procedural models in computer graphics, but they require many samples to produce desirable results. In this paper, we show how…

Graphics · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Daniel Ritchie , Anna Thomas , Pat Hanrahan , Noah D. Goodman

This paper introduces a physics-informed machine learning approach for pathloss prediction. This is achieved by including in the training phase simultaneously (i) physical dependencies between spatial loss field and (ii) measured pathloss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-15 Steffen Limmer , Alberto Martinez Alba , Nicola Michailow

A major challenge with off-road autonomous navigation is the lack of maps or road markings that can be used to plan a path for autonomous robots. Classical path planning methods mostly assume a perfectly known environment without accounting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charles Moore , Shaswata Mitra , Nisha Pillai , Marc Moore , Sudip Mittal , Cindy Bethel , Jingdao Chen

We present Neural Random Forest Imitation - a novel approach for transforming random forests into neural networks. Existing methods propose a direct mapping and produce very inefficient architectures. In this work, we introduce an imitation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Christoph Reinders , Bodo Rosenhahn

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

Neural network (NN) interatomic potentials provide fast prediction of potential energy surfaces, closely matching the accuracy of the electronic structure methods used to produce the training data. However, NN predictions are only reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Daniel Schwalbe-Koda , Aik Rui Tan , Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

This paper concerns the study of optimal (supremum and infimum) uncertainty bounds for systems where the input (or prior) probability measure is only partially/imperfectly known (e.g., with only statistical moments and/or on a coarse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Xingsheng Sun , Burigede Liu
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