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We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jae Ho Chang , Subhadeep Paul

Modeling responses on the nodes of a large-scale network is an important task that arises commonly in practice. This paper proposes a community network vector autoregressive (CNAR) model, which utilizes the network structure to characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-13 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Knowledge of the current state of economies, how they respond to COVID-19 mitigations and indicators, and what the future might hold for them is important. We use recently-developed generalised network autoregressive (GNAR) models, using…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Guy P Nason , James L Wei

In regression analysis of counts, a lack of simple and efficient algorithms for posterior computation has made Bayesian approaches appear unattractive and thus underdeveloped. We propose a lognormal and gamma mixed negative binomial (NB)…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-03 Mingyuan Zhou , Lingbo Li , David Dunson , Lawrence Carin

In applications such as gene regulatory network analysis based on single-cell RNA sequencing data, samples often come from a mixture of different populations and each population has its own unique network. Available graphical models often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Junjie Tang , Changhu Wang , Feiyi Xiao , Ruibin Xi

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

Federated Bayesian neural networks require fixing a prior on the model parameters together with a likelihood. Eliciting meaningful priors on the weight space of modern overparameterized models is notoriously difficult, and misspecification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Boning Zhang , Matteo Zecchin , Mingzhao Guo , Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

COVID-19 pandemic has brought to the fore epidemiological models which, though describing a wealth of behaviors, have previously received little attention in signal processing literature. In this work, a generalized time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Barbara Pascal , Samuel Vaiter

Learning the structure of Bayesian networks from data provides insights into underlying processes and the causal relationships that generate the data, but its usefulness depends on the homogeneity of the data population, a condition often…

High dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models require a large number of parameters to be estimated and may suffer of inferential problems. We propose a new Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) Lasso prior (BNP-Lasso) for high-dimensional VAR…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Luca Rossini

The original generalized network autoregressive models are poor for modelling count data as they are based on the additive and constant noise assumptions, which is usually inappropriate for count data. We introduce two new models (GNARI and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Hengxu Liu , Guy Nason

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

Recently, partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs), which only consider a subset of the parameters to be stochastic, were shown to perform competitively with full Bayesian neural networks. However, pBNNs are often multi-modal in the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Zheng Zhao , Sebastian Mair , Thomas B. Schön , Jens Sjölund

We develop an efficient posterior sampling scheme for the Poisson INGARCH models. The proposed method is based on the approximation of the posterior density that exploits the Poisson limit of the negative binomial distribution. It allows us…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yixuan Fan , Zhengwei Liu , Fukang Zhu

Finite Gaussian mixture models are widely used for model-based clustering of continuous data. Nevertheless, since the number of model parameters scales quadratically with the number of variables, these models can be easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Michael Fop , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

We present a Bayesian nonparametric Poisson factorization model for modeling network data with an unknown and potentially growing number of overlapping communities. The construction is based on completely random measures and allows the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Fadhel Ayed , François Caron

Networks play a central role in modern data analysis, enabling us to reason about systems by studying the relationships between their parts. Most often in network analysis, the edges are given. However, in many systems it is difficult or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-06 Scott W. Linderman , Ryan P. Adams

We consider high-dimensional distribution estimation through autoregressive networks. By combining the concepts of sparsity, mixtures and parameter sharing we obtain a simple model which is fast to train and which achieves state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-28 Marc Goessling , Yali Amit