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Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

In today's modern era of Big data, computationally efficient and scalable methods are needed to support timely insights and informed decision making. One such method is sub-sampling, where a subset of the Big data is analysed and used as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

This paper presents a novel framework for stabilizing nonlinear systems represented in state-dependent form. We first reformulate the nonlinear dynamics as a state-dependent parameter-varying model and synthesize a stabilizing controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lidong Li , Rui Huang , Lin Zhao

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

Computational capability often falls short when confronted with massive data, posing a common challenge in establishing a statistical model or statistical inference method dealing with big data. While subsampling techniques have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yixiao Ruan , Zan Li , Zhaohui Li , Dennis K. J. Lin , Qingpei Hu , Dan Yu

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

It has been reported that deep learning models are extremely vulnerable to small but intentionally chosen perturbations of its input. In particular, a deep network, despite its near-optimal accuracy on the clean images, often mis-classifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 A. Tuan Nguyen , Ser Nam Lim , Philip Torr

Dimensionality reduction is an effective method for learning high-dimensional data, which can provide better understanding of decision boundaries in human-readable low-dimensional subspace. Linear methods, such as principal component…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Koji Maruhashi , Heewon Park , Rui Yamaguchi , Satoru Miyano

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We introduce Harmonic Robustness, a powerful and intuitive method to test the robustness of any machine-learning model either during training or in black-box real-time inference monitoring without ground-truth labels. It is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Nicholas S. Kersting , Yi Li , Aman Mohanty , Oyindamola Obisesan , Raphael Okochu

The solution of linear inverse problems arising, for example, in signal and image processing is a challenging problem since the ill-conditioning amplifies, in the solution, the noise present in the data. Recently introduced algorithms based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Davide Evangelista , James Nagy , Elena Morotti , Elena Loli Piccolomini

We present a causal view on the robustness of neural networks against input manipulations, which applies not only to traditional classification tasks but also to general measurement data. Based on this view, we design a deep causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Cheng Zhang , Kun Zhang , Yingzhen Li

Consider an unknown nonlinear dynamical system that is known to be dissipative. The objective of this paper is to learn a neural dynamical model that approximates this system, while preserving the dissipativity property in the model. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Yuezhu Xu , S. Sivaranjani

Constructing good representations is critical for learning complex tasks in a sample efficient manner. In the context of meta-learning, representations can be constructed from common patterns of previously seen tasks so that a future task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Halil Ibrahim Gulluk , Yue Sun , Samet Oymak , Maryam Fazel

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Robust estimation is much more challenging in high dimensions than it is in one dimension: Most techniques either lead to intractable optimization problems or estimators that can tolerate only a tiny fraction of errors. Recent work in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Ilias Diakonikolas , Gautam Kamath , Daniel M. Kane , Jerry Li , Ankur Moitra , Alistair Stewart
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