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We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Manifold-valued parameters routinely arise in modern statistical applications such as in medical imaging, robotics, and computer vision, to name a few. While traditional Bayesian approaches are applicable to such settings by considering an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rong Tang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

Bayesian inference is a powerful paradigm for quantum state tomography, treating uncertainty in meaningful and informative ways. Yet the numerical challenges associated with sampling from complex probability distributions hampers Bayesian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-04 Joseph M. Lukens , Kody J. H. Law , Ajay Jasra , Pavel Lougovski

This paper presents the beginnings of an automatic statistician, focusing on regression problems. Our system explores an open-ended space of statistical models to discover a good explanation of a data set, and then produces a detailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-25 James Robert Lloyd , David Duvenaud , Roger Grosse , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Zoubin Ghahramani

Re-randomization has gained popularity as a tool for experiment-based causal inference due to its superior covariate balance and statistical efficiency compared to classic randomized experiments. However, the basic re-randomization method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Zhaoyang Liu , Tingxuan Han , Donald B. Rubin , Ke Deng

In this paper we propose new smoothed sign and Wilcoxon's signed rank tests, which are based on a kernel estimator of the underlying distribution function of data. We discuss approximations of $p$-values and asymptotic properties of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Yoshihiko Maesono , Taku Moriyama , Mengxin Lu

We consider the change-point problem for the marginal distribution of subordinated Gaussian processes that exhibit long-range dependence. The asymptotic distributions of Kolmogorov-Smirnov- and Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type statistics are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Johannes Tewes

Let $T$ be a tree with induced partial order $\preceq$. We investigate centered Gaussian processes $X=(X_t)_{t\in T}$ represented as $$ X_t=\sigma(t)\sum_{v \preceq t}\alpha(v)\xi_v $$ for given weight functions $\alpha$ and $\sigma$ on $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Werner Linde

We show that for a large class of marked point processes there exists a random measure m with the predictable representation property such that iterated integrals with respect to m span the space of square integrable random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-05 Samuel N. Cohen

Mark-point dependence plays a critical role in research problems that can be fitted into the general framework of marked point processes. In this work, we focus on adjusting for mark-point dependence when estimating the mean and covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Ganggang Xu , Jingfei Zhang , Yehua Li , Yongtao Guan

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

In this paper, we propose novel, fully Bayesian non-parametric tests for one-sample and two-sample multivariate location problems. We model the underlying distribution using a Dirichlet process prior, and develop a testing procedure based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Indrabati Bhattacharya , Subhashis Ghosal

We reconsider randomized algorithms for the low-rank approximation of symmetric positive semi-definite (SPSD) matrices such as Laplacian and kernel matrices that arise in data analysis and machine learning applications. Our main results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-05 Alex Gittens , Michael W. Mahoney

Randomization tests are based on a re-randomization of existing data to gain data-dependent critical values that lead to exact hypothesis tests under special circumstances. However, it is not always possible to re-randomize data in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Dennis Dobler

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Bayesian methods have been widely used in the last two decades to infer statistical properties of spatially variable coefficients in partial differential equations from measurements of the solutions of these equations. Yet, in many cases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-01 David Aristoff , Wolfgang Bangerth

Support points summarize a large dataset through a smaller set of representative points that can be used for data operations, such as Monte Carlo integration, without requiring access to the full dataset. In this sense, support points offer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-01 Peiqi Zhao , Carlos E. Rodríguez , Ramsés H. Mena , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper, we consider the nonasymptotic sequential estimation of means of random variables bounded in between zero and one. We have rigorously demonstrated that, in order to guarantee prescribed relative precision and confidence level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen
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