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In many scientific disciplines, the features of interest cannot be observed directly, so must instead be inferred from observed behaviour. Latent variable analyses are increasingly employed to systematise these inferences, and Principal…

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a popular dimension reduction technique often used to visualize high-dimensional data structures. In genomics, this can involve millions of variables, but only tens to hundreds of observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Kristoffer Hellton , Magne Thoresen

Big data is transforming our world, revolutionizing operations and analytics everywhere, from financial engineering to biomedical sciences. The complexity of big data often makes dimension reduction techniques necessary before conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Jianqing Fan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou , Ziwei Zhu

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

We propose a new framework for modeling high-dimensional matrix-variate time series by a two-way transformation, where the transformed data consist of a matrix-variate factor process, which is dynamically dependent, and three other blocks…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

We develop a robust Bayesian functional principal component analysis (RB-FPCA) method that utilizes the skew elliptical class of distributions to model functional data, which are observed over a continuous domain. This approach effectively…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-20 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

We introduce Adaptive Functional Principal Component Analysis, a novel method to capture directions of variation in functional data that exhibit sharp changes in smoothness. We first propose a new adaptive scatterplot smoothing technique…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Angel Garcia de la Garza , Britton Sauerbrei , Adam Hantman , Jeff Goldsmith

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very successful dimensionality reduction technique, widely used in predictive modeling. A key factor in its widespread use in this domain is the fact that the projection of a dataset onto its first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-19 Xianghui Luo , Robert J. Durrant

Principal component regression (PCR) is a popular technique for fixed-design error-in-variables regression, a generalization of the linear regression setting in which the observed covariates are corrupted with random noise. We provide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Anish Agarwal , Keegan Harris , Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) is a probabilistic reformulation of principal component analysis (PCA), under the framework of a Gaussian latent variable model. To improve the robustness of PPCA, it has been proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Yiping Guo , Howard D. Bondell

We present a novel approach for adaptive, differentiable parameterization of large-scale random fields. If the approach is coupled with any gradient-based optimization algorithm, it can be applied to a variety of optimization problems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Maksim Elizarev , Andrei Mukhin , Aleksey Khlyupin

The study of stability and sensitivity of statistical methods or algorithms with respect to their data is an important problem in machine learning and statistics. The performance of the algorithm under resampling of the data is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Haoyu Wang

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In multivariate time series classification, although current sequence analysis models have excellent classification capabilities, they show significant shortcomings when dealing with long sequence multivariate data, such as prolonged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Enshuo Yan , Huachuan Wang , Weihao Xia

In this paper, we propose two nonparametric methods used in the forecasting of functional time-dependent data, namely functional singular spectrum analysis recurrent forecasting and vector forecasting. Both algorithms utilize the results of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-28 Jordan Trinka , Hossein Haghbin , Mehdi Maadooliat

Principal component analysis (PCA) is one of the most popular dimension reduction techniques in statistics and is especially powerful when a multivariate distribution is concentrated near a lower-dimensional subspace. Multivariate extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Felix Reinbott , Anja Janßen

Principal component analysis (PCA) is perhaps the most widely used method for data dimensionality reduction. A key question in PCA is deciding how many factors to retain. This manuscript describes a new approach to automatically selecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

In this work we investigate the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) sensitivity to the velocity power spectrum in high opacity regimes of the interstellar medium (ISM). For our analysis we use synthetic Position-Position-Velocity (PPV) cubes…

In this brief note, we formulate Principal Component Analysis (PCA) over datasets consisting not of points but of distributions, characterized by their location and covariance. Just like the usual PCA on points can be equivalently derived…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 Vlad Niculae