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We present a hidden Markov model analysis for fluorescent time series of quantum dots. A fundamental quantity to measure optical performance of the quantum dots is a distribution function for the light-emission duration. So far, to estimate…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2022-09-23 Tatsuhiro Furuta , Keisuke Hamada , Masaru Oda , Kazuma Nakamura

Tethered particle experiments use light microscopy to measure the position of a micrometer-sized bead tethered to a microscope slide via a ~micrometer length polymer, in order to infer the behavior of the invisible polymer. Currently, this…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 John F. Beausang , Chiara Zurla , Carlo Manzo , David Dunlap , Laura Finzi , Philip C. Nelson

In many biochemical processes, proteins bound to DNA at distant sites are brought into close proximity by loops in the underlying DNA. For example, the function of some gene-regulatory proteins depends on such DNA looping interactions. We…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 John F Beausang , Philip C Nelson

We present a new method to distinguish between different states (e.g., high and low, quiescent and flaring) in astronomical sources with count data. The method models the underlying physical process as latent variables following a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-05 Robert Zimmerman , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , Aneta Siemiginowska

We search for digital biomarkers from Parkinson's Disease by observing approximate repetitive patterns matching hypothesized step and stride periodic cycles. These observations were modeled as a cycle of hidden states with randomness…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-15 Avinash Bukkittu , Baihan Lin , Trung Vu , Itsik Pe'er

Fluctuations in the fluorescence from macroscopic ensembles of colloidal semiconductor quantum dots have the spectral form of 1/f noise. The measured power spectral density reflects the fluorescence intermittency of individual dots with…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-10 Matthew Pelton , David Grier , Philippe Guyot-Sionnest

In this paper we consider a reduced-form intensity-based credit risk model with a hidden Markov state process. A filtering method is proposed for extracting the underlying state given the observation processes. The method may be applied to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-10 Feng-Hui Yu , Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu

Single quantum light-emitters are valuable resources for engineered quantum systems. They can function as robust single-photon generators, allow optical control of single spins, provide readout capabilities for atomic-scale sensors, and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Jemy Geordy , Lachlan J. Rogers , Cameron M Rogers , Thomas Volz , Alexei Gilchrist

We study the intermittent fluorescence of a single molecule, jumping from the "light on" to the "light off" state, as a Poisson process modulated by a fluctuating environment. We show that the quasi-periodic and quasi-deterministic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Simone Bianco , Paolo Grigolini , Paolo Paradisi

We present a new method for inferring hidden Markov models from noisy time sequences without the necessity of assuming a model architecture, thus allowing for the detection of degenerate states. This is based on the statistical prediction…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-01-24 David Kelly , Mark Dillingham , Andrew Hudson , Karoline Wiesner

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Adrián Pérez Herrero , Paulo Félix Lamas , Jesús María Rodríguez Presedo

Motion models (i.e., transition probability densities) are often deduced from fluorescence widefield tracking experiments by analyzing single-particle trajectories post-processed from data. This analysis immediately raises the question: To…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-07-29 Zachary H. Hendrix , Lance W. Q. Xu , Steve Pressé

A qubit can relax by fluorescence, which prompts the release of a photon into its electromagnetic environment. By counting the emitted photons, discrete quantum jumps of the qubit state can be observed. The succession of states occupied by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-15 P. Campagne-Ibarcq , P. Six , L. Bretheau , A. Sarlette , M. Mirrahimi , P. Rouchon , B. Huard

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Blazars are known to show periods of quiescence followed by outbursts visible throughout the electromagnetic spectrum. We present a novel maximum likelihood approach to capture this bimodal behavior by examining blazar radio variability in…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-03-30 I. Liodakis , V. Pavlidou , T. Hovatta , W. Max-Moerbeck , T. J. Pearson , J. L. Richards , A. C. S. Readhead

Virtually all known fluorophores, including semiconductor nanoparticles, nanorods and nanowires exhibit unexplainable episodes of intermittent emission blinking. A most remarkable feature of the fluorescence intermittency is a universal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-03-19 Pavel Frantsuzov , Masaru Kuno , Boldizsar Janko , Rudolph A. Marcus

Environmental time series data observed at high frequencies can be studied with approaches such as hidden Markov and semi-Markov models (HMM and HSMM). HSMMs extend the HMM by explicitly modeling the time spent in each state. In a…

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

In this paper, we study DNA-based molecular communication with microarray-style reception under reversible hybridization, where the bound-state observation exhibits both inter-symbol interference and colored counting noise. To capture these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Ruifeng Zheng , Zhihan Xu , Veronika Volkova , Pengjie Zhou , Martín Schottlender , Juan A. Cabrera , Frank H. P. Fitzek , Pit Hofmann

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart
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