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We derive information-theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on the information contained in predictions rather than in the output of the training algorithm. These bounds improve over the existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Maxim Raginsky , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

Machine learning theory has mostly focused on generalization to samples from the same distribution as the training data. Whereas a better understanding of generalization beyond the training distribution where the observed distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-29 Matias Vera , Pablo Piantanida , Leonardo Rey Vega

In this work we consider a model problem of deep neural learning, namely the learning of a given function when it is assumed that we have access to its point values on a finite set of points. The deep neural network interpolant is the the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Michail Loulakis , Charalambos G. Makridakis

The crucial importance of metrics in machine learning algorithms has led to an increasing interest in optimizing distance and similarity functions, an area of research known as metric learning. When data consist of feature vectors, a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Aurélien Bellet

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

We introduce a generalized Bayesian method for multiple changepoint analysis with a loss function inspired by multinomial logistic regression. The method does not require a specification of the data-generating process and avoids restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yuhui Wang , Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch

We derive a tight generalization bound for quantum machine learning that is applicable to a wide range of supervised tasks, data, and models. Our bound is both efficiently computable and free of big-O notation. Furthermore, we point out…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-29 Xin Wang , Rebing Wu

As machine learning models continue to swiftly advance, calibrating their performance has become a major concern prior to practical and widespread implementation. Most existing calibration methods often negatively impact model accuracy due…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Yang Ba , Michelle V. Mancenido , Rong Pan

Standard uniform convergence results bound the generalization gap of the expected loss over a hypothesis class. The emergence of risk-sensitive learning requires generalization guarantees for functionals of the loss distribution beyond the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Liu Leqi , Audrey Huang , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

Machine learning algorithms use error function minimization to fit a large set of parameters in a preexisting model. However, error minimization eventually leads to a memorization of the training dataset, losing the ability to generalize to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Fernando Martin-Maroto , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, we propose a new information-theoretic based generalization error upper bound applicable to supervised learning scenarios.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We derive upper bounds on the generalization error of learning algorithms based on their \emph{algorithmic transport cost}: the expected Wasserstein distance between the output hypothesis and the output hypothesis conditioned on an input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-09 Jingwei Zhang , Tongliang Liu , Dacheng Tao

Generalization error bounds from learning theory provide statistical guarantees on how well an algorithm will perform on previously unseen data. In this paper, we characterize the impacts of data non-IIDness due to censored feedback (a.k.a.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Yifan Yang , Ali Payani , Parinaz Naghizadeh

In machine learning we often encounter structured output prediction problems (SOPPs), i.e. problems where the output space admits a rich internal structure. Application domains where SOPPs naturally occur include natural language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Waleed Mustafa , Yunwen Lei , Antoine Ledent , Marius Kloft

To assess generalization, machine learning scientists typically either (i) bound the generalization gap and then (after training) plug in the empirical risk to obtain a bound on the true risk; or (ii) validate empirically on holdout data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Saurabh Garg , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , J. Zico Kolter , Zachary C. Lipton

As machine learning becomes more and more available to the general public, theoretical questions are turning into pressing practical issues. Possibly, one of the most relevant concerns is the assessment of our confidence in trusting machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Pietro Barbiero , Giovanni Squillero , Alberto Tonda

Ultra-wideband (UWB)-based techniques, while becoming mainstream approaches for high-accurate positioning, tend to be challenged by ranging bias in harsh environments. The emerging learning-based methods for error mitigation have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Yuxiao Li , Santiago Mazuelas , Yuan Shen

The modeling of probability distributions, specifically generative modeling and density estimation, has become an immensely popular subject in recent years by virtue of its outstanding performance on sophisticated data such as images and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Hongkang Yang

Distributed learning facilitates the scaling-up of data processing by distributing the computational burden over several nodes. Despite the vast interest in distributed learning, generalization performance of such approaches is not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén
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