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Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

Probabilistic Graphical Bayesian models of causation have continued to impact on strategic analyses designed to help evaluate the efficacy of different interventions on systems. However, the standard causal algebras upon which these…

Causal discovery is increasingly applied to large-scale telemetry data to estimate the effects of user-facing interventions, yet its reliability for decision-making in feedback-driven systems with strong self-selection remains unclear. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Hoang Dang , Luan Pham , Minh Nguyen

Graph edge perturbations are dedicated to damaging the prediction of graph neural networks by modifying the graph structure. Previous gray-box attackers employ gradients from the surrogate model to locate the vulnerable edges to perturb the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Zihan Liu , Yun Luo , Lirong Wu , Siyuan Li , Zicheng Liu , Stan Z. Li

The global average treatment effect (GATE) is a primary quantity of interest in the study of causal inference under network interference. With a correctly specified exposure model of the interference, the Horvitz-Thompson (HT) and H\'ajek…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Johan Ugander , Hao Yin

Assessing the magnitude of cause-and-effect relations is one of the central challenges found throughout the empirical sciences. The problem of identification of causal effects is concerned with determining whether a causal effect can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Amin Jaber , Jiji Zhang , Elias Bareinboim

We consider the problem of a graph subjected to adversarial perturbations, such as those arising from cyber-attacks, where edges are covertly added or removed. The adversarial perturbations occur during the transmission of the graph between…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Saif Eddin Jabari

Causal discovery from interventional data is an important problem, where the task is to design an interventional strategy that learns the hidden ground truth causal graph $G(V,E)$ on $|V| = n$ nodes while minimizing the number of performed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Davin Choo , Kirankumar Shiragur

We consider recovering a causal graph in presence of latent variables, where we seek to minimize the cost of interventions used in the recovery process. We consider two intervention cost models: (1) a linear cost model where the cost of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Raghavendra Addanki , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan , Andrew McGregor , Cameron Musco

Many applications of cyber-physical systems require real-time communication: manufacturing, automotive, etc. Recent Ethernet standards for Time Sensitive Networking (TSN) offer time-triggered scheduling in order to guarantee low latency and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Heiko Geppert , Frank Dürr , Kurt Rothermel

Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate the causal effects of a proposed treatment in many areas of science, from medicine and healthcare to the physical and biological sciences, from the social sciences to engineering, to public…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Christina Lee Yu , Edoardo M Airoldi , Christian Borgs , Jennifer T Chayes

Environmental epidemiologists are increasingly interested in establishing causality between exposures and health outcomes. A popular model for causal inference is the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), which typically seeks to estimate the average…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Keith W. Zirkle , Marie-Abele Bind , Jenise L. Swall , David C. Wheeler

Adaptive experimentation under unknown network interference requires solving two coupled problems: (i) learning the underlying dynamics of interference among units and (ii) using these dynamics to inform treatment allocation in order to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Aidan Gleich , Eric Laber , Alexander Volfovsky

Pearl's do calculus is a complete axiomatic approach to learn the identifiable causal effects from observational data. When such an effect is not identifiable, it is necessary to perform a collection of often costly interventions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Sina Akbari , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Graph adversarial attacks are usually produced from the two perspectives of topology/structure and node feature, both of them represent the paramount characteristics learned by today's deep learning models. Although some defense…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Xinxin Fan , Wenxiong Chen , Quanliang Jing , Chi Lin , Shaoye Luo , Wenbo Song , Yunfeng Lu

This paper proposes an approach facilitating co-design of causal graphs between subject matter experts and statistical modellers. Modern causal analysis starting with formulation of causal graphs provides benefits for robust analysis and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Eli Y. Kling

Recent studies show that well-devised perturbations on graph structures or node features can mislead trained Graph Neural Network (GNN) models. However, these methods often overlook practical assumptions, over-rely on heuristics, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Xiaodong Yang , Xiaoting Li , Huiyuan Chen , Yiwei Cai

Understanding causal relationships among the variables of a system is paramount to explain and control its behavior. For many real-world systems, however, the true causal graph is not readily available and one must resort to predictions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Elias Eulig , Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Patrick Blöbaum , Michaela Hardt , Dominik Janzing

This paper develops doubly robust estimators for direct (DATT) and spillover (SATT) average treatment effects on the treated in network-based difference-in-differences (DiD) designs. Unlike standard DiD methods, the proposed approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Kuan Sun , Zhiguo Xiao

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu