English
Related papers

Related papers: Variance bounds and robust tuning for pseudo-margi…

200 papers

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms ubiquitously employ complex deterministic transformations to generate proposal points that are then filtered by the Metropolis-Hastings-Green (MHG) test. However, the condition of the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Kirill Neklyudov , Max Welling

In this paper we shall consider optimal scaling problems for high-dimensional Metropolis--Hastings algorithms where updates can be chosen to be lower dimensional than the target density itself. We find that the optimal scaling rule for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Neal , Gareth Roberts

We consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. It is well known (see Roberts et al. (Ann. Appl. Probab. 7…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-22 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Błażej Miasojedow

The Metropolis algorithm is one of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods that realize sampling from the target probability distribution. In this paper, we are concerned with the sampling from the distribution in non-identifiable cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Kenji Nagata , Yoh-ichi Mototake

The Metropolis algorithm is arguably the most fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. But the algorithm is not guaranteed to converge to the desired distribution in the case of multivariate binary distributions (e.g., Ising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Kai Brügge , Asja Fischer , Christian Igel

Statistical machine learning often uses probabilistic algorithms, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to solve a wide range of problems. Probabilistic computations, often considered too slow on conventional processors, can be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-26 Xiangyu Zhang , Ramin Bashizade , Yicheng Wang , Cheng Lyu , Sayan Mukherjee , Alvin R. Lebeck

We present a two-stage Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for sampling probabilistic models, whose log-likelihood is computationally expensive to evaluate, by using a surrogate Gaussian Process (GP) model. The key feature of the approach, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-29 Alessio Benavoli , Jason Wyse , Arthur White

We introduce a general framework that constructs estimators with reduced variance for random walk Metropolis and Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms. The resulting estimators require negligible computational cost and are derived in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

We propose a weighting scheme for the proposals within Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and show how this can improve statistical efficiency at no extra computational cost. These methods are most powerful when combined with…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-01 Espen Bernton , Shihao Yang , Yang Chen , Neil Shephard , Jun S. Liu

We explore a general framework in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling where sequential proposals are tried as a candidate for the next state of the Markov chain. This sequential-proposal framework can be applied to various existing…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-21 Joonha Park , Yves F. Atchadé

We present a novel Metropolis-Hastings method for large datasets that uses small expected-size minibatches of data. Previous work on reducing the cost of Metropolis-Hastings tests yield variable data consumed per sample, with only constant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Daniel Seita , Xinlei Pan , Haoyu Chen , John Canny

Margin has played an important role on the design and analysis of learning algorithms during the past years, mostly working with the maximization of the minimum margin. Recent years have witnessed the increasing empirical studies on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Meng-Zhang Qian , Zheng Ai , Teng Zhang , Wei Gao

We study two types of Metropolis-Hastings (MH) reversiblizations for non-reversible Markov chains with Markov kernel $P$. While the first type is the classical Metropolised version of $P$, we introduce a new self-adjoint kernel which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Michael C. H. Choi

We consider deployment of the particle filter on modern massively parallel hardware architectures, such as Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), with a focus on the resampling stage. While standard multinomial and stratified resamplers require…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-29 Lawrence Murray

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

We study the computational complexity of a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for Bayesian community detection. We first establish a posterior strong consistency result for a natural prior distribution on stochastic block models under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-08 Bumeng Zhuo , Chao Gao

We analyse computational efficiency of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms with AR(1) process proposals. These proposals include, as a subclass, discretized Langevin diffusion (e.g. MALA) and discretized Hamiltonian dynamics (e.g. HMC). By…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-15 Richard A. Norton , Colin Fox